Detroit @ St. Louis props

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. Brendan Donovan has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. In the past 7 days, Brendan Donovan's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.6% down to 0%. Brendan Donovan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.1-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 83.4-mph in the past 7 days. Despite posting a .371 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brendan Donovan has been very fortunate given the .035 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .336.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Colt Keith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Colt Keith will have the upper hand in today's game. In the past 14 days, Colt Keith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.1-mph in recent games.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest out of every team playing today. Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Masyn Winn has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 97.8-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today's game.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest out of every team playing today. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 86.7-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.2° figure in the past two weeks.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. In the past 14 days, Dillon Dingler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph in recent games. Dillon Dingler has compiled a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest out of every team playing today. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jordan Walker's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest out of every team playing today. Jordan Walker will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Spencer Torkelson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 17.6% to 26.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 16.7% seasonal rate to 26.9% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge today. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Extreme groundball hitters like Javier Baez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sonny Gray. Javier Baez has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.1% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past week. Javier Baez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 92.5-mph over the past two weeks. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 17.2% on the season to 29.4% over the last week.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest out of every team playing today. Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Pedro Pages's launch angle lately (50.3° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 15.9° seasonal figure.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Trey Sweeney will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Trey Sweeney hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Trey Sweeney has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 17.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 8.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Last season, Gleyber Torres had an average launch angle of 14° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 18.7°. In the last week's worth of games, Gleyber Torres's 76.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50.4%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage in today's matchup. Kerry Carpenter has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.7-mph average.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game. Zach McKinstry hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 52.9%. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 52.9% on the season to 68% in the last two weeks.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand in today's game. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest out of every team playing today. Victor Scott II will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate. Akil Baddoo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Akil Baddoo has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .230 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .276. Akil Baddoo's 95.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.