Final (10) Jul 9
LAD 2 -140 o8.5
MIL 3 +129 u8.5
Final Jul 9
TOR 1 -134 o8.0
CHW 2 +123 u8.0
Final Jul 9
PHI 13 -123 o8.0
SF 0 +114 u8.0
Final Jul 9
TB 7 +123 o8.0
DET 3 -134 u8.0
Final Jul 9
SEA 6 +138 o10.0
NYY 9 -150 u10.0
Final Jul 9
COL 2 +272 o9.0
BOS 10 -307 u9.0
Final Jul 9
MIA 2 +133 o9.0
CIN 7 -144 u9.0
Final Jul 9
CHC 2 +102 o9.0
MIN 4 -110 u9.0
Final Jul 9
PIT 3 +163 o8.5
KC 4 -179 u8.5
Final Jul 9
WAS 8 +160 o8.5
STL 2 -174 u8.5
Final Jul 9
CLE 4 +143 o7.5
HOU 2 -155 u7.5
Final Jul 9
TEX 8 -105 o9.5
LAA 11 -103 u9.5
Final Jul 9
AZ 8 +143 o7.5
SD 2 -155 u7.5
Final Jul 9
ATL 9 -128 o10.5
ATH 2 +118 u10.5

New York @ New York picks

Yankee Stadium

NYM vs NYY Picks

MLB Picks
Spread
New York Yankees logo
NYY -1.5 (+125)
Best Odds
-1.5 +135 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
 -
-1.5  +115
-1.5  +116
-1.5  +135
 -
 -

Mets starter David Peterson, on the other hand, has his hands full with the Bronx Bombers. New York paces the majors in wOBA (.377) and ISO (.239) against lefties, and he’s surrendered a healthy 51.5% hard-hit rate. I'm also confident opposing starter Max Fried can navigate his way through the Mets lineup. The veteran lefty is off to a 6-0 start with a sterling 1.11 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and solid 3.55 xFIP, and his Stuff+ marks are up across the board per FanGraphs.

Total Hits
Trent Grisham logo Trent Grisham o0.5 Total Hits (-143)
Best Odds
o0.5 -145 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  -145
 -
 -

This price feels like a steal, and my -172 projection backs it up. Like Fried, David Peterson thrives as an elite ground-ball pitcher, with his success tied to inducing weak contact. Aside from Cody Bellinger, today's Yankee lineup has no hitter in it with a lower career ground-ball rate than Trent Grisham. That should make him a tough matchup. Grisham brings plenty to like. Against lefties, he boasts a .178 ISO, a .270+ batting average, and a .292 BABIP. Peterson leans heavily on his sinker (28% of pitches), and while Grisham's actual numbers against sinkers this season are underwhelming, his .348 xBA and .538 xSLG scream positive regression.

Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso logo Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Best Odds
o0.5 +450 bet365
Pick made: one month ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst
 -
o0.5  +450
 -
o0.5  +425
 -
 -

Through 42 plate appearances against Max Fried, Pete Alonso boasts a .472 slugging percentage, .577 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), and two home runs. Alonso is also one of baseball’s top power hitters this season, ranking in the 98th percentile in xSLG, average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.

Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Best Odds
o0.5 +180 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  +180
 -
 -

Pete Alonso is one of a handful of Mets with a lengthy history against Max Fried. The Polar Bear has had 36 head-to-head duels with him, with some impressive success: Two homers, seven RBI, and a .853 OPS. Add in situational aspects of things like the wind blowing out to center close to 20 mph and the platoon splits, and you'll see that there's at least an increased chance that Alonso will collect an RBI completely by himself with a longball. He usually bats third behind Juan Soto, which holds a lot of weight. 

Outs Recorded
Max Fried logo Max Fried o18.5 Outs Recorded (+133)
Best Odds
o18.5 +130 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
 -
 -
 -
o18.5  +130
 -
 -

The 18.5 outs prop Over may seem ambitious, but Fried has cleared it in two of his last three starts and six of nine overall. He also did so comfortably against the New York Mets last year. His elite ground-ball rate is the key. Fried has evolved from his earlier days as a slightly more strikeout-dependent thrower to a more efficient one. His K-rate has dipped from 27% two years ago to 23% this season, reflecting a shift toward inducing quick outs. With a 52% ground-ball rate — among the league's best — and an average of 97 pitches per start, Fried has become even more of an innings-eater than before. The Mets' 45% ground ball rate ranks 10th in MLB. In four starts since April against teams with similar or higher rates, Fried has averaged 6.6 innings (19.8 outs). 

Total RBIs
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +240 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  +240
 -
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as the league's 17th-best home run batter.. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +210 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  +210
 -
 -
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Juan Soto is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +230 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  +230
 -
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Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +180 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  +180
 -
 -
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+105)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +105 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  +105
 -
 -
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +160 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  +160
 -
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Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +105 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o1.5  +105
 -
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as the league's 17th-best home run batter.. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +110 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o1.5  +110
 -
 -
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Juan Soto is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +135 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o1.5  +135
 -
 -
Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -115 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o1.5  -115
 -
 -
Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

NYM vs NYY Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

73% picking NY Yankees

27%
73%

Total PicksNYM 244, NYY 663

Moneyline
NYM
NYY
Moneyline
Total

66% picking NY Mets vs NY Yankees to go Under

34%
66%

Total PicksNYM 219, NYY 416

Total
Over
Under

NYM vs NYY Top User Picks

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User Picks

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