New York @ New York Picks & Props

NYM vs NYY Picks

MLB Picks
Total Hits
Trent Grisham logo Trent Grisham o0.5 Total Hits (-143)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

This price feels like a steal, and my -172 projection backs it up. Like Fried, David Peterson thrives as an elite ground-ball pitcher, with his success tied to inducing weak contact. Aside from Cody Bellinger, today's Yankee lineup has no hitter in it with a lower career ground-ball rate than Trent Grisham. That should make him a tough matchup. Grisham brings plenty to like. Against lefties, he boasts a .178 ISO, a .270+ batting average, and a .292 BABIP. Peterson leans heavily on his sinker (28% of pitches), and while Grisham's actual numbers against sinkers this season are underwhelming, his .348 xBA and .538 xSLG scream positive regression.

Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Pete Alonso is one of a handful of Mets with a lengthy history against Max Fried. The Polar Bear has had 36 head-to-head duels with him, with some impressive success: Two homers, seven RBI, and a .853 OPS. Add in situational aspects of things like the wind blowing out to center close to 20 mph and the platoon splits, and you'll see that there's at least an increased chance that Alonso will collect an RBI completely by himself with a longball. He usually bats third behind Juan Soto, which holds a lot of weight. 

Outs Recorded
Max Fried logo Max Fried o18.5 Outs Recorded (+133)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

The 18.5 outs prop Over may seem ambitious, but Fried has cleared it in two of his last three starts and six of nine overall. He also did so comfortably against the New York Mets last year. His elite ground-ball rate is the key. Fried has evolved from his earlier days as a slightly more strikeout-dependent thrower to a more efficient one. His K-rate has dipped from 27% two years ago to 23% this season, reflecting a shift toward inducing quick outs. With a 52% ground-ball rate — among the league's best — and an average of 97 pitches per start, Fried has become even more of an innings-eater than before. The Mets' 45% ground ball rate ranks 10th in MLB. In four starts since April against teams with similar or higher rates, Fried has averaged 6.6 innings (19.8 outs). 

Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso logo Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Through 42 plate appearances against Max Fried, Pete Alonso boasts a .472 slugging percentage, .577 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), and two home runs. Alonso is also one of baseball’s top power hitters this season, ranking in the 98th percentile in xSLG, average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.

Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Mets starter David Peterson, on the other hand, has his hands full with the Bronx Bombers. New York paces the majors in wOBA (.377) and ISO (.239) against lefties, and he’s surrendered a healthy 51.5% hard-hit rate. I'm also confident opposing starter Max Fried can navigate his way through the Mets lineup. The veteran lefty is off to a 6-0 start with a sterling 1.11 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and solid 3.55 xFIP, and his Stuff+ marks are up across the board per FanGraphs.

Total RBIs
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as the league's 17th-best home run batter.. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Juan Soto is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+105)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as the league's 17th-best home run batter.. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Juan Soto is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+152)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
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NYM vs NYY Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

73% picking NY Yankees

27%
73%

Total PicksNYM 244, NYY 663

Moneyline
NYM
NYY
Moneyline
Total

66% picking NY Mets vs NY Yankees to go Under

34%
66%

Total PicksNYM 219, NYY 416

Total
Over
Under

NYM vs NYY Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Juan Soto is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Juan Soto logo

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Juan Soto is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Paul Goldschmidt
P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. The 6th-deepest CF fences in the majors are found in Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. In terms of his batting average, Paul Goldschmidt has experienced some positive variance this year. His .341 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280.

Paul Goldschmidt logo

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. The 6th-deepest CF fences in the majors are found in Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. In terms of his batting average, Paul Goldschmidt has experienced some positive variance this year. His .341 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Trent Grisham
T. Grisham
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Trent Grisham logo

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jasson Dominguez Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Jasson Dominguez
J. Dominguez
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Jasson Dominguez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jasson Dominguez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 95.9-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jasson Dominguez logo

Jasson Dominguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Jasson Dominguez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jasson Dominguez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 95.9-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Brandon Nimmo logo

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. In terms of plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.73 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 88th percentile.

Jeff McNeil logo

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. In terms of plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.73 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 88th percentile.

Oswald Peraza Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Oswald Peraza
O. Peraza
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Oswald Peraza will have an edge in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Oswald Peraza will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Oswald Peraza's launch angle lately (25.5° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 16.3° seasonal figure.

Oswald Peraza logo

Oswald Peraza

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Oswald Peraza will have an edge in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Oswald Peraza will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Oswald Peraza's launch angle lately (25.5° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 16.3° seasonal figure.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Austin Wells
A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. Austin Wells has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph figure.

Austin Wells logo

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. Austin Wells has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph figure.

Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Cody Bellinger
C. Bellinger
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

Cody Bellinger logo

Cody Bellinger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

Luisangel Acuna Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luisangel Acuna
L. Acuna
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Luisangel Acuna will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. Luisangel Acuna has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 1.1% seasonal rate to 10% over the past 7 days.

Luisangel Acuna logo

Luisangel Acuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Luisangel Acuna will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. Luisangel Acuna has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 1.1% seasonal rate to 10% over the past 7 days.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph average. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 37.5% to 52.8%.

Francisco Alvarez logo

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph average. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 37.5% to 52.8%.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Mark Vientos will have the upper hand today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. Mark Vientos has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last week.

Mark Vientos logo

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Mark Vientos will have the upper hand today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. Mark Vientos has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last week.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Pete Alonso logo

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side against Max Fried in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Francisco Lindor logo

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side against Max Fried in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Aaron Judge
A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Aaron Judge tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

Aaron Judge logo

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Aaron Judge tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

DJ LeMahieu Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

DJ LeMahieu
D. LeMahieu
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

DJ LeMahieu logo

DJ LeMahieu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Starling Marte's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Starling Marte will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Starling Marte has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Starling Marte logo

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Starling Marte's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Starling Marte will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Starling Marte has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Tyrone Taylor
T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Tyrone Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) may lead us to conclude that Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .244 actual batting average. With a .314 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor grades out in the 78th percentile.

Tyrone Taylor logo

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Tyrone Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) may lead us to conclude that Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .244 actual batting average. With a .314 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor grades out in the 78th percentile.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Anthony Volpe
A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Anthony Volpe's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Anthony Volpe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

Anthony Volpe logo

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Volpe's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Anthony Volpe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

Jorbit Vivas Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Jorbit Vivas
J. Vivas
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.31
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jorbit Vivas has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
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NY Yankees Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 TAURO1954 6-4-0 +20640
2 faustobaez 5-5-0 +18570
3 faustobone 5-5-0 +18455
4 proliner55 7-3-0 +17645
5 cucamonga 6-4-0 +17345
6 Jets73 8-2-0 +16105
7 Hawggolf1 5-5-0 +16085
8 burley 7-3-0 +15930
9 poppyg 6-4-0 +15772
10 Fekete 7-3-0 +14610
All Yankees Money Leaders
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