Toronto @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alejandro Kirk
A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will not have the upper hand today. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. This year, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 13.8% last year to just 7.9% this year.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will not have the upper hand today. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. This year, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 13.8% last year to just 7.9% this year.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams today. Jarren Duran's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 29.6 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.99 ft/sec now.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams today. Jarren Duran's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 29.6 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.99 ft/sec now.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

Bo Bichette
B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette today. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Bichette in today's game. Bo Bichette has notched a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette today. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Bichette in today's game. Bo Bichette has notched a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Rafael Devers will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Rafael Devers will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Toronto

Anthony Santander
A. Santander
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Batters such as Anthony Santander with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Batters such as Anthony Santander with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

Triston Casas
T. Casas
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Kristian Campbell Total Hits Props • Boston

Kristian Campbell
K. Campbell
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kristian Campbell hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Kristian Campbell will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kristian Campbell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kristian Campbell hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Kristian Campbell will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Tyler Heineman Total Hits Props • Toronto

Tyler Heineman
T. Heineman
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Heineman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Tyler Heineman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Heineman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu
W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Will Wagner Total Hits Props • Toronto

Will Wagner
W. Wagner
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Will Wagner is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Will Wagner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Will Wagner is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ceddanne Rafaela has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ceddanne Rafaela has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Alan Roden Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alan Roden
A. Roden
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alan Roden will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game.

Alan Roden

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alan Roden will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Trevor Story is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Typically, bats like Trevor Story who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chris Bassitt.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Trevor Story is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Typically, bats like Trevor Story who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chris Bassitt.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ernie Clement
E. Clement
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Ernie Clement has been lifting the ball well lately, putting up a 29.9° launch angle in the past 14 days.

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Ernie Clement has been lifting the ball well lately, putting up a 29.9° launch angle in the past 14 days.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

Nathan Lukes
N. Lukes
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler today. Nathan Lukes has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler today. Nathan Lukes has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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