Toronto @ Boston Picks & Props

Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will not have the upper hand today. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. This year, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 13.8% last year to just 7.9% this year.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams today. Jarren Duran's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 29.6 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.99 ft/sec now.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette today. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Bichette in today's game. Bo Bichette has notched a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Rafael Devers will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Batters such as Anthony Santander with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kristian Campbell hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Kristian Campbell will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Heineman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Will Wagner is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ceddanne Rafaela has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alan Roden will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game.

Trevor Story is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Typically, bats like Trevor Story who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chris Bassitt.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Ernie Clement has been lifting the ball well lately, putting up a 29.9° launch angle in the past 14 days.

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 50°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler today. Nathan Lukes has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.