MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 29, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TB @

CLE Wed, Apr 29 • 1:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+255)

Projection 1.2

Best Odds

o1.5 +255

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +219

o1.5 +255

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +230

o1.5 +235

Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game.. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

+255 at bet365

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+215)

Projection 1.31

Best Odds

o1.5 +215

Pick made: 37 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +202

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +215

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Manzardo can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Manzardo are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

+215 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

LAA @

CHW Wed, Apr 29 • 1:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+120)

Projection 0.61

Best Odds

u0.5 +120

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +120

u0.5 -120

u0.5 +100

u0.5 -125

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game forecasts the lowest temperature of all games today at 51°.. Yusei Kikuchi will hold the platoon advantage against Munetaka Murakami in today's matchup.

+120 at bet365

Total Bases

Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-220)

Projection 0.6

Best Odds

u1.5 -220

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -220

-220 at bet365

View 10 Picks

SEA @

MIN Wed, Apr 29 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-155)

Projection 0.77

Best Odds

u1.5 -155

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -155

As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

-155 at bet365

Total Bases

Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.89

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +120

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +120

Byron Buxton projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Extreme groundball hitters like Byron Buxton tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like George Kirby.. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

+120 at bet365

View 10 Picks

NYY @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Wed, Apr 29 • 2:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Jake Burger u0.5 Total Hits (+181)

Projection 0.87

Best Odds

u0.5 +181

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +181

u0.5 +135

u0.5 +172

u0.5 +180

Batting from the same side that Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz throws from, Jake Burger will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.. In today's matchup, Jake Burger is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (81st percentile).

+181 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 2.1

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +109

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +115

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Extreme flyball hitters like Aaron Judge tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

BOS @

TOR Wed, Apr 29 • 3:07 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.92

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +104

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +115

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage against Eric Lauer today.

+115 at bet365

Total Bases

Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)

Projection 1.54

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +147

o1.5 +165

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.

+165 at bet365

View 10 Picks

MIA @

LAD Wed, Apr 29 • 3:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Dalton Rushing o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.89

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +121

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dalton Rushing in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Dalton Rushing has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Dalton Rushing will have the upper hand in today's game.. Dalton Rushing has strong power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Sandy Alcantara doesn't generate many whiffs (13th percentile K%) — great news for Rushing.

+140 at bet365

Total Bases

Will Smith o1.5 Total Bases (+138)

Projection 1.85

Best Odds

o1.5 +138

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +138

o1.5 +130

Will Smith projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Will Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Will Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

+138 at BetMGM

View 10 Picks

CHC @

SD Wed, Apr 29 • 4:10 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.89

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +115

o1.5 -145

o1.5 -112

o1.5 -110

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+115 at bet365

Total Bases

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.79

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 23 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +114

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today's game.. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 5 Picks

HOU @

BAL Wed, Apr 29 • 6:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Pete Alonso u0.5 Total Hits (+202)

Projection 0.91

Best Odds

u0.5 +202

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +169

u0.5 +202

u0.5 +165

u0.5 +170

Hitting from the same side that Peter Lambert throws from, Pete Alonso will have a tough matchup today.. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

+202 at bet365

Total Hits

Dylan Beavers u0.5 Total Hits (+132)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

u0.5 +132

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +126

u0.5 +132

u0.5 +125

Dylan Beavers is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

+132 at bet365

View 10 Picks

SF @

PHI Wed, Apr 29 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Brandon Marsh u0.5 Total Hits (+190)

Projection 0.91

Best Odds

u0.5 +190

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +159

u0.5 +190

u0.5 +148

u0.5 +165

Total Bases

Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+137)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +137

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +115

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

+137 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

COL @

CIN Wed, Apr 29 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Brenton Doyle u0.5 Total Hits (+182)

Projection 0.73

Best Odds

u0.5 +182

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +149

u0.5 +182

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +150

This game is expected to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams on the slate today.. Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

+182 at bet365

Total Hits

Will Benson u0.5 Total Hits (+145)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

u0.5 +145

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +142

u0.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Will Benson is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today's game.. This game is expected to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

+145 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

STL @

PIT Wed, Apr 29 • 6:40 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.56

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +177

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +177

o0.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today.

+185 at bet365

Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)

Projection 0.6

Best Odds

o0.5 +160

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +158

o0.5 +160

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +150

Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand today.

+160 at bet365

View 2 Picks

WAS @

NYM Wed, Apr 29 • 7:10 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Juan Soto u0.5 Total Hits (+175)

Projection 0.87

Best Odds

u0.5 +175

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +164

u0.5 +165

u0.5 +172

u0.5 +175

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 4th-lowest temperature on the slate today at 56°.

+175 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Strikeouts Thrown

David Peterson o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)

Projection 6.18

Best Odds

o4.5 -170

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o5.5 +118

o4.5 -170

o4.5 -174

o5.5 +118

o5.5 +120

David Peterson has been granted an above-average leash since the start of last season, recording 3.3 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average hurler.. The Washington Nationals have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (James Wood, Joey Wiemer, Brady House).. Bill Miller projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 4th-lowest temperature on the slate today at 56°.. Given that groundball pitchers have a notable advantage over groundball hitters, David Peterson and his 51% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in this outing matching up with 4 opposing GB hitters.

-170 at bet365

View 3 Picks

DET @

ATL Wed, Apr 29 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Colt Keith u0.5 Total Hits (+173)

Projection 0.86

Best Odds

u0.5 +173

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +173

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +167

u0.5 +170

Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

+173 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+172)

Projection 1.55

Best Odds

o1.5 +172

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +172

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Austin Riley is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts the most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Austin Riley will have an edge in today's game.. Austin Riley will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

+172 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

AZ @

MIL Wed, Apr 29 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Gary Sanchez u0.5 Total Hits (+145)

Projection 0.73

Best Odds

u0.5 +145

Pick made: 9 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +132

u0.5 +115

u0.5 +127

u0.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

+145 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Adrian Del Castillo o1.5 Total Bases (+202)

Projection 1.39

Best Odds

o1.5 +202

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +171

o1.5 +202

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +170

Adrian Del Castillo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Adrian Del Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat in today's game... and even better, Sproat has a large platoon split.. Extreme flyball hitters like Adrian Del Castillo generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Sproat.

+202 at bet365

View 10 Picks

KC @

ATH Wed, Apr 29 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+200)

Projection 0.86

Best Odds

u0.5 +200

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +183

u0.5 +200

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 15th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Carlos Cortes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

+200 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+108)

Projection 2.13

Best Odds

o1.5 +108

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +108

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nick Kurtz as the game's 8th-best home run hitter.. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Nick Kurtz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha today.

+108 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

Covers Betting Team

Meet our team of experts

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Learn more

Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups

Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more

MLB

04/28/2026 04:58 ET

Cubs vs Padres Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Buehler's day to shine. Read more

MLB

04/28/2026 04:11 ET

2026 Cy Young Odds: Schlittler, Soriano Soaring Up the Board

Cy Young odds analysis and predictions.Read more

MLB

04/28/2026 02:57 ET

MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Tuesday, April 28

Brett Baty powers one into the stands.Read more

MLB

04/28/2026 02:33 ET

Daily MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions April 28

What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.