It's an AL East theme to our MLB best bets today, as we're starting the day off with two moneylines and an Over/Under involving that division, based on the prices at Polymarket.
See why our expert MLB picks are keying in on the prices for Boston and Tampa Bay to win today, plus Baltimore to be part of a slug fest.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: BOS ML |
-104 |
 Neil Parker: TB ML |
+117 |
 Joe Osborne: HOU/BAL o9 |
-108 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Red Sox moneyline
Price: 51¢ (-104) at Polymarket
The Boston Red Sox have picked things up after ownership made coaching changes following a slow start. Since then, they’ve won two straight and may hold the starting pitching edge today against the Toronto Blue Jays, who were limited to two hits yesterday (with just one off starter Ranger Suarez through eight innings). Payton Tolle was dominant in his season debut, while Trey Yesavage is making his first start after a rough rehab stint, posting an 8.59 ERA over 14+ innings, and threw just 2 1/3 innings in his last outing. The fair price on this moneyline sits closer to -115, giving Boston value.
Neil Parker's expert pick: Rays moneyline
Price: 46¢ (+117) at Polymarket
The Tampa Bay Rays send the better offense to the dish, with a 10th-ranked wOBA and the lowest strikeout percentage in the majors against righties. Plus, I don’t think Cleveland Guardians starter Tanner Bibee is completely healthy: He exited his first start of the season with right shoulder inflammation, yet never missed a turn in the rotation. His velocity dipped across the board in his most recent start, and he’s also surrendered an alarming 53.2% hard-hit rate this year.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Astros/Orioles Over 9
Price: 52¢ (-108) at Polymarket
Kai-Wei Teng gets the start for the Houston Astros, but hasn’t reached the fourth inning in any outing this season, which likely forces heavy bullpen usage. That's not good, as the Astros bullpen has been a disaster lately. On the other side, Shane Baz is coming off back-to-back starts with four earned runs allowed. The Over has also hit in eight of nine for the Astros and in seven straight games for the Baltimore Orioles.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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