Milwaukee @ Arizona Picks & Props
MIL vs AZ Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
MIL vs AZ Consensus Picks
63% picking Milwaukee vs Arizona to go Over
Total PicksMIL 247, AZ 145
MIL vs AZ Props
Garrett Mitchell Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Garrett Mitchell's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Garrett Mitchell has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.
Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Today, Jackson Chourio is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (97th percentile). Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 92.6-mph in the last week's worth of games. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Chourio's true offensive talent to be a .323, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .016 difference between that figure and his actual .339 wOBA.
William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
William Contreras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) may lead us to conclude that William Contreras has been very fortunate this year with his .355 actual wOBA.
Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Sal Frelick has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 85.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 83.1-mph. In terms of plate discipline, Sal Frelick's talent is quite good, sporting a 1.89 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 81st percentile.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) suggests that Brice Turang has been unlucky this year with his .253 actual batting average.
Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have an edge in today's game. Rhys Hoskins has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Rhys Hoskins's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%.
Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Blake Perkins will get to bat from his strong side against Eduardo Rodriguez in this game. Grading out in the 87th percentile, Blake Perkins sits with a .328 BABIP this year.
Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today's game.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta today.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 15th-best batter in baseball. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Ketel Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Willy Adames will have the upper hand in today's game.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.
Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona
Pavin Smith is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Pavin Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.88 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 82nd percentile. Geraldo Perdomo has recorded a .271 batting average this year, placing in the 81st percentile.
Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jose Herrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Gary Sanchez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Gary Sanchez will have an advantage today. Gary Sanchez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 95.4-mph in the past 7 days.
Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Eugenio Suarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 29.4%.
MIL vs AZ Trends
Milwaukee Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 75 of their last 142 games (+12.15 Units / 8% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 84 of their last 146 games (+10.25 Units / 5% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 146 games (+9.45 Units / 5% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 81 of their last 146 games (+6.49 Units / 4% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 66% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 65 of their last 146 games (-29.30 Units / -17% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 142 games (-24.70 Units / -16% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 54 away games (-7.55 Units / -10% ROI)
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 90 games (+32.05 Units / 32% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 89 games (+23.90 Units / 21% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 81 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.10 Units / 34% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 90 games (-41.20 Units / -42% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 43 games at home (-15.20 Units / -30% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-13.20 Units / -36% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 65 games at home (-9.70 Units / -12% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games at home (-2.75 Units / -15% ROI)
MIL vs AZ Top User Picks
Milwaukee Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 9-1-0 | +27055 |
| 2 | LuckyGuy | 3-7-0 | +21010 |
| 3 | Ollywood | 4-6-0 | +19651 |
| 4 | luke44 | 2-7-1 | +18810 |
| 5 | declin005 | 5-5-0 | +18675 |
| 6 | ronebme | 7-3-0 | +18055 |
| 7 | joe pockets | 7-3-0 | +17000 |
| 8 | peede | 5-5-0 | +16645 |
| 9 | longball44 | 7-3-0 | +16480 |
| 10 | djgarcia | 7-3-0 | +16030 |
| All Brewers Money Leaders | |||
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||