Atlanta @ Minnesota Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Martin will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.282) may lead us to conclude that Austin Martin has been unlucky this year with his .258 actual batting average. By putting up a 1.89 K/BB rate this year, Austin Martin has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 84th percentile.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Orlando Arcia's launch angle this year (8.8°) is significantly higher than his 5.5° mark last season. Over the last 14 days, Orlando Arcia's 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Sean Murphy's true offensive skill to be a .333, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .040 difference between that mark and his actual .293 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Michael Harris II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Harris II can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Ramon Laureano has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.9% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the last 14 days. Ramon Laureano's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (20.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.3° figure last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Jorge Soler's launch angle lately (45.5° in the past week) is significantly higher than his 18.4° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Whit Merrifield has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 87.8-mph.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Ryan Jeffers has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.5% to 16.7%. By putting up a .339 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers grades out in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Royce Lewis will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, Royce Lewis has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.3% to 21.4% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Carlos Santana's launch angle recently (20.1° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 15.6° seasonal figure. As it relates to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.74 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 87th percentile.

Travis d'Arnaud is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Travis d'Arnaud's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 90th percentile this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. This season, Marcell Ozuna has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.6 mph compared to last year's 96.5 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Willi Castro is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Over the past week, Willi Castro's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage over Simeon Woods Richard today. Jarred Kelenic may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach today. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Gio Urshela has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last season's 87.4-mph average. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) implies that Gio Urshela has had bad variance on his side this year with his .245 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 11th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill. Edouard Julien is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Edouard Julien will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Wallner ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today's game. Matt Wallner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage today.