San Francisco @ Seattle Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Randy Arozarena will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Michael Conforto will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's game. Luke Raley has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.8% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the past two weeks.

Dylan Moore is penciled in 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Dylan Moore will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray in today's game. Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Dylan Moore will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dylan Moore has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .199 mark is considerably lower than his .218 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Thairo Estrada pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Thairo Estrada has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.3-mph mark. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 40.3% on the season to 54.5% in the past week's worth of games. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Thairo Estrada has had some very poor luck given the .032 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

Grant McCray's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Grant McCray will hold the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Grant McCray has been hot in recent games, compiling a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) over the past two weeks.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leonardo Rivas in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Leonardo Rivas will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Robbie Ray in today's matchup. Leonardo Rivas pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Leonardo Rivas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Leonardo Rivas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.9% up to 9.1%.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Rojas has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last week. Josh Rojas has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.7-mph average. Last season, Josh Rojas had an average launch angle of 10.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.4°.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Tyler Fitzgerald pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. In the last week's worth of games, Tyler Fitzgerald's 72.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.5%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jorge Polanco will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 17.9% on the season to 28.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.325) implies that Jorge Polanco has had some very poor luck this year with his .294 actual wOBA.

Heliot Ramos's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Heliot Ramos has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Heliot Ramos has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 16.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Mike Yastrzemski will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Mike Yastrzemski is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#1-worst of all teams today).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 89.6-mph EV. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.8°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 29.6° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Curt Casali has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile with a 1.78 K/BB rate.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Mitch Haniger will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Mitch Haniger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Mitch Haniger has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 92.9-mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mitch Haniger's true offensive talent to be a .312, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .030 disparity between that figure and his actual .282 wOBA.

Justin Turner is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup. Justin Turner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Justin Turner has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 32.8° mark in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. With a .347 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Matt Chapman finds himself in the 84th percentile for hitting ability.