New York @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Jeff McNeil has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 3% seasonal rate to 10% over the last week.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game. Petco Park projects as the #26 ballpark in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Despite posting a .340 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Merrill has experienced some positive variance given the .017 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323. Posting a 3.92 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Merrill has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 19th percentile.

The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesse Winker ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 15th-worst out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Over the last 7 days, Francisco Lindor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, Francisco Lindor has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 28.3° mark in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. J.D. Martinez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. J.D. Martinez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph average. In the past 14 days, J.D. Martinez's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.6%.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Pete Alonso has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.6% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 14 days.

Petco Park projects as the #26 ballpark in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.6-mph average last year has decreased to 87.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 15th-worst out of every team today.

The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 46.8% on the season to 62.5% over the past 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.324) implies that Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side this year with his .295 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.7% rate last season to 15.7% this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 15th-worst out of every team today. Jurickson Profar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 15th-worst out of every team today. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Posting a .331 BABIP this year, Francisco Alvarez has performed in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. By putting up a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Iglesias finds himself in the 93rd percentile. Grading out in the 98th percentile, Jose Iglesias sports a .333 batting average this year.

David Peralta's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, David Peralta will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tyler Wade will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino in today's game. Tyler Wade is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today.