World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksATL 456, COL 216
Total PicksATL 279, COL 170
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Adam Duvall is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today. Adam Duvall will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Adam Duvall has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks.
The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcell Ozuna today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather report expects the most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Travis d'Arnaud today. Travis d'Arnaud's quickness has fallen off this season. His 26.11 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.39 ft/sec now.
The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Riley in today's matchup.
Batting from the same side that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Brendan Rodgers will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brendan Rodgers's launch angle recently (7.8° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 4.8° seasonal angle. Brendan Rodgers's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (3.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 8.1° mark last year. As it relates to plate discipline, Brendan Rodgers's ability is quite poor, posting a 3.88 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 18th percentile.
The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today. Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 19.6% to 15.9%. Over the past week, Jorge Soler's 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42%. Jorge Soler has compiled a .228 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Kyle Freeland will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Olson in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. There has been a decrease in Matt Olson's average exit velocity this year, from 93.7 mph last year to 91.5 mph now Matt Olson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 12.5% on the season to 0% over the last week.
Whit Merrifield is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today. Whit Merrifield will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Whit Merrifield's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 85.1-mph average last season has lowered to 82.7-mph. Whit Merrifield's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 82.7-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 79.5-mph in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Orlando Arcia is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today. Orlando Arcia is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Colorado (#2-best of the day). Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Brenton Doyle encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 20th percentile with a 3.74 K/BB rate.
Spencer Schwellenbach will hold the platoon advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today's matchup. Posting a .277 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Ezequiel Tovar is ranked in the 11th percentile for offensive skills. With a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Ezequiel Tovar finds himself in the 24th percentile. When it comes to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's talent is quite poor, putting up a 10.34 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 0th percentile.
Ryan McMahon's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #1 venue in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Kris Bryant will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #1 venue in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Michael Toglia will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Spencer Schwellenbach in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 21st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Over the last 14 days, Charlie Blackmon's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%. Charlie Blackmon's average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.4-mph mark last season has lowered to 84.1-mph. In the last 14 days, Charlie Blackmon's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 88.7 mph to 81.8 mph. In notching a .283 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Charlie Blackmon finds himself in the 15th percentile for offensive skills.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Aaron Schunk will hold that advantage in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #1 venue in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Cave will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach in today's game.
The #1 venue in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sam Hilliard will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage today.
Ramon Laureano has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 7-2-1 | +28415 |
| 2 | leafs126 | 8-2-0 | +28005 |
| 3 | adgadg222 | 8-2-0 | +26815 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-6-0 | +23010 |
| 5 | Dogface253 | 7-2-1 | +22855 |
| 6 | moneyformo | 7-3-0 | +21495 |
| 7 | ND21 | 9-1-0 | +21105 |
| 8 | Hoosier | 7-2-1 | +20260 |
| 9 | fishercz | 8-1-1 | +19955 |
| 10 | simoncald | 9-1-0 | +19655 |
| All Rockies Money Leaders | |||