New York @ Seattle Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game.

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Pete Alonso is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Pete Alonso has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.3% seasonal rate to 24% in the last 14 days. Pete Alonso has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luke Raley can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Josh Rojas will have an edge today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Rojas stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage today.

Victor Robles is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Victor Robles will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Victor Robles's launch angle recently (26.8° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 16.3° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 2nd-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP skill. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Francisco Lindor has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.8-mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .360.

Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Harrison Bader sports a .269 batting average this year.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Justin Turner will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Justin Turner's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.6 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jeff McNeil has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.3-mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. J.D. Martinez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, J.D. Martinez's 21.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%. By putting up a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, J.D. Martinez is positioned in the 76th percentile for hitting ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Mark Vientos's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.4°) is a significant increase over his 11.7° mark last season. Sporting a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Mark Vientos grades out in the 76th percentile for hitting ability. Mark Vientos has put up a .363 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesse Winker has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jesse Winker has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 16.9% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past 7 days.

Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal mark of 24°, Dylan Moore has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (18°) in the past two weeks.

Leonardo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Leonardo Rivas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Brandon Nimmo will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Nimmo has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Ben Gamel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Gamel stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. By putting up a .322 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jose Iglesias grades out in the 99th percentile. Placing in the 98th percentile, Jose Iglesias sports a .328 batting average this year.

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage today. Dominic Canzone has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Dominic Canzone will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.