Detroit @ Seattle Picks & Props

Justyn-Henry Malloy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Justyn-Henry Malloy has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Justyn-Henry Malloy has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 29.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 26.3°. Over the past 7 days, Justyn-Henry Malloy has displayed impressive power, recording a a 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power).

Parker Meadows will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Parker Meadows stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Parker Meadows pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Parker Meadows has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .196 BA is a fair amount lower than his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Parker Meadows's 10% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wenceel Perez ranks in the 84th percentile with a 17.3° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

Javier Baez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Javier Baez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.5% to 25%. Javier Baez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .213 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .080 difference.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Leonardo Rivas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Tarik Skubal today. Leonardo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Leonardo Rivas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Mitch Garver will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Mitch Garver will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Mitch Garver has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph average.

Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Jake Rogers has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 96.9-mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Rogers's true offensive ability to be a .286, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .034 disparity between that mark and his actual .252 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Matt Vierling is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Matt Vierling has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gio Urshela is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Gio Urshela has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gio Urshela has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph figure. In the past 14 days, Gio Urshela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 92.6-mph recently.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his better side against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Victor Robles is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Victor Robles will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Victor Robles will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Colt Keith is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colt Keith can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Colt Keith has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an edge in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Zach McKinstry's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (23.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.6° angle last year. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Zach McKinstry's true offensive ability to be a .304, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .066 gap between that mark and his actual .238 wOBA.

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Mitch Haniger will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Mitch Haniger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Mitch Haniger has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the last 14 days.

Bligh Madris is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Bligh Madris will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's matchup. Bligh Madris will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Bligh Madris has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bligh Madris has been hot recently, putting up a a 22.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Dylan Moore will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Justin Turner is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Justin Turner will have an advantage in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Justin Turner will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Dillon Dingler has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.