Detroit @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Over the past 14 days, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 87.3 mph to 81.3 mph. Despite posting a .393 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance given the .082 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

Justyn-Henry Malloy is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in baseball for RHB BABIP. In the majors, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Justyn-Henry Malloy has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the game for lefty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Given Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, Andres Gimenez will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the game for lefty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jhonkensy Noel is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in baseball for RHB BABIP. In the majors, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mark Canha ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in baseball for RHB BABIP. In the majors, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Angel Martinez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the game for lefty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the game for lefty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup... and even better, Flaherty has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Daniel Schneemann will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the game for lefty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Matt Vierling is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in baseball for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Matt Vierling has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in baseball for RHB BABIP. In the majors, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Javier Baez's true offensive skill to be a .288, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .088 gap between that mark and his actual .200 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in baseball for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Gio Urshela has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Gio Urshela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 92.8-mph recently.

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the game for lefty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Wenceel Perez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 91.4-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the game for lefty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Will Brennan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty today... and moreover, Flaherty has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the game for lefty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today... and even more favorably, Flaherty has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Colt Keith is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the game for lefty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Colt Keith will have the upper hand in today's game.

David Fry is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and David Fry will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the game for lefty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Bibee in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Zach McKinstry's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (24.1°) is a considerable increase over his 13.6° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in baseball for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Carson Kelly has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 90.3-mph figure. The standard deviation of Carson Kelly's launch angle this year (26°) is in the 85th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.