St. Louis @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among every team playing today. Nolan Gorman is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today). Over the last 14 days, Nolan Gorman has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 16.9% to 25%.

Homers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league stadiums. This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. In the last 7 days, Bryan Reynolds's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%. Bryan Reynolds has been lucky this year, notching a .361 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .343 — a .018 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand today. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among every team playing today. Lars Nootbaar has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season's 89.1-mph average.

Homers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league stadiums. This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masyn Winn today. Masyn Winn has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 80.7-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. Joey Bart will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Joey Bart's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (28° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 12.7° seasonal angle. Joey Bart has been hot in recent games, posting a a 13.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the last 14 days.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among every team playing today. Willson Contreras has compiled a .399 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 97th percentile.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's game. Jack Suwinski has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .177 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .225 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Alec Burleson has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time. Homers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league stadiums. This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Burleson in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Alec Burleson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among every team playing today. Paul Goldschmidt has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 50% over the past 7 days. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 104.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Josh Palacios's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Josh Palacios will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Palacios will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Josh Palacios has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .239 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. Andrew McCutchen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. Ke'Bryan Hayes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 46.2% on the season to 75.9% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage today.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have the upper hand today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. Rowdy Tellez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.