Atlanta @ San Diego Picks & Props

Petco Park profiles as the #26 stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. This contest is predicted to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Randy Vasquez in today's game. Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ha-seong Kim will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Ha-seong Kim will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Manny Machado will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Luis Arraez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the league. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Austin Riley has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.2% seasonal rate to 30% over the last 14 days. Austin Riley has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 96.3-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Xander Bogaerts will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Orlando Arcia's launch angle this year (10.3°) is significantly better than his 5.5° figure last season. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Orlando Arcia has had bad variance on his side given the .034 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .282.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Donovan Solano will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Jarred Kelenic's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an advantage in today's game. Jarred Kelenic hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jarred Kelenic has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 92.2-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today. Jackson Merrill has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 92.2-mph over the past two weeks.

Travis d'Arnaud has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.3-mph figure. Travis d'Arnaud's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 44.4% on the season to 54.5% over the past week. When it comes to his batting average, Travis d'Arnaud has suffered from bad luck this year. His .238 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Chris Sale) today. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Marcell Ozuna has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark. This season, Marcell Ozuna has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.8 mph compared to last year's 96.5 mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge today. Matt Olson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.7°, Matt Olson has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.302) may lead us to conclude that Adam Duvall has had bad variance on his side this year with his .258 actual wOBA.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Eddie Rosario will have the upper hand today. Eddie Rosario has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.6-mph mark. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Eddie Rosario has had bad variance on his side this year. His .236 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .283.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Kyle Higashioka will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Kyle Higashioka will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.5% to 26.6%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.