Washington @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Willy Adames today. Over the last two weeks, Willy Adames's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 92.8 mph to 85.7 mph. Over the last 14 days, Willy Adames's 9.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.3%. In notching a .229 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Willy Adames grades out in the 24th percentile.

Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Yelich has been lucky given the .049 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.

Garrett Mitchell's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field ranks as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best field in the league for right-handed BABIP. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Over the last two weeks, Jacob Young's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.1%. Jacob Young has compiled a .323 BABIP this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against William Contreras today. William Contreras's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 92.4-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 90.4-mph in the past 14 days. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, falling from 9.5% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days. In terms of his batting average, William Contreras has experienced some positive variance this year. His .287 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .267.

Luis Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Luis Garcia has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week. Luis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 12% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days. By putting up a 3.58 K/BB rate this year, Luis Garcia has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 25th percentile.

Juan Yepez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best field in the league for right-handed BABIP. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Juan Yepez has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 25.65 ft/sec to 26.93 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lane Thomas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best field in the league for right-handed BABIP. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Lane Thomas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. American Family Field ranks as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best field in the league for right-handed BABIP. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Jackson Chourio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best field in the league for right-handed BABIP. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. In the last two weeks' worth of games, LaVictor Lipscomb's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.7-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best field in the league for right-handed BABIP. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field ranks as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.

James Wood's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. American Family Field ranks as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.

Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. American Family Field ranks as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Brice Turang will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

American Family Field ranks as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Colin Rea. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this year (19.5°) is significantly better than his 15.1° angle last season. Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, posting a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .036 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field ranks as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

American Family Field ranks as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today's game. Jake Bauers will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

American Family Field ranks as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. Ildemaro Vargas has displayed good plate discipline this year, placing in the 97th percentile with a 1.28 K/BB rate.