Washington @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Garrett Mitchell will hold the platoon advantage against Jackson Rutledge in today's matchup. Garrett Mitchell may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.

In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brice Turang's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 88.4 mph to 79.9 mph. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (3°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.2° mark last year. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (-2.1° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 3° seasonal angle. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang's true offensive skill to be a .292, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .033 gap between that mark and his actual .325 wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Jackson Rutledge throws from, William Contreras will have a disadvantage today. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 9.6% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days. In terms of his batting average, William Contreras has been very fortunate this year. His .292 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .269.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.

Juan Yepez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Juan Yepez has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.65 ft/sec to 26.82 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. LaVictor Lipscomb has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 85.3-mph mark.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Andruw Monasterio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last week, Andruw Monasterio's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%. Andruw Monasterio has been unlucky this year, notching a .246 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .048 difference.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Willy Adames will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jackson Rutledge throws from, Sal Frelick will have an edge in today's matchup. Sal Frelick will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Utilizing Statcast data, Jacob Young is in the 75th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .266. Sporting a .324 BABIP this year, Jacob Young is ranked in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's game. Over the last two weeks, CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Jackson Chourio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jackson Chourio has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.7-mph average.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Freddy Peralta. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this season (19.5°) is a significant increase over his 15.1° figure last year. Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, notching a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .035 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Luis Garcia will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta in today's game. Luis Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 95.6-mph in the past 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today's game. Rhys Hoskins has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13.1% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past week.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jackson Rutledge throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge in today's game.