Seattle @ San Diego Picks & Props

The #8 field in the majors for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today. Adam Mazur will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Josh Rojas will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Josh Rojas has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.1-mph. Posting a 1.96 K/BB rate this year, Josh Rojas has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 77th percentile. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Josh Rojas has put up a .326 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13% to 17.2%.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Jurickson Profar's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 25%. Jurickson Profar has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.8-mph mark. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 42% to 50.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Last year, Ty France had an average launch angle of 11.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16°. In the last 14 days, Ty France has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 24.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 16°.

The #8 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph figure last year has dropped to 87.1-mph. In the last 14 days, Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 87.1 mph to 80.8 mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ha-seong Kim will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Ha-seong Kim has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.2-mph average. Ha-seong Kim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 14.9% to 17.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Luke Raley's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today's matchup. Luke Raley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the last week, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.1-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph of late.

Jorge Polanco has been unlucky this year, notching a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .059 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Donovan Solano will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Donovan Solano's launch angle this year (17°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.9° angle last season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Manny Machado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph recently.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage today.

Mitch Garver is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Mitch Garver has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph average. Mitch Garver has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last season's 91.4-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Mitch Garver has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.1° angle over the past 14 days.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Cal Raleigh has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 15.2% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last season's 89.6-mph EV. Cal Raleigh has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 92.5-mph figure. Cal Raleigh has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .292 rate is considerably lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage today. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17.5% to 24.7%.

David Peralta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and David Peralta will hold that advantage in today's game. David Peralta's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 46.8% to 56.1%.