Arizona @ San Diego Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ha-seong Kim has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 91.8-mph in the last 7 days. Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .222 mark is quite a bit lower than his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #7 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of every team today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has dropped off to 87.1-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Waldron in today's game. Joc Pederson has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days. Grading out in the 97th percentile, Joc Pederson sports a .396 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage today. Jake McCarthy's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (15.8°) is significantly better than his 11.1° figure last year. Jake McCarthy has compiled a .267 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Donovan Solano will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Donovan Solano's launch angle this season (17.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.9° angle last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 20th-best batter in baseball. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Ketel Marte has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last season's 91.1-mph EV. Ketel Marte has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 93.4-mph average. Over the last 14 days, Ketel Marte's 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Matt Waldron today. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corbin Carroll has had some very poor luck given the .051 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Gabriel Moreno's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 27.3%. Gabriel Moreno has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph average. Gabriel Moreno has shown favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 94th percentile with a 1.49 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today's game. Jurickson Profar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 94-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Compared to last season, Jurickson Profar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42% to 50.4% this season. As it relates to plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.19 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Considering Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Jackson Merrill will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Christian Walker has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.3% rate last season to 17.1% this season. Over the last week, Christian Walker's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.7% down to 6.7%.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Despite posting a .272 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eugenio Suarez has had some very poor luck given the .043 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

In notching a .273 batting average this year, Kevin Newman grades out in the 79th percentile.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Matt Waldron in today's matchup. Alek Thomas has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week. Alek Thomas has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 93.7-mph figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) implies that Alek Thomas has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .228 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Manny Machado has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past week's worth of games.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage today.

Considering Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, David Peralta will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. David Peralta will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, David Peralta's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4% up to 14.3%. Compared to last year, David Peralta has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.8% to 58% this season.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. With a 1.5 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 93rd percentile.