Arizona @ San Diego Picks & Props

Petco Park grades out as the #26 ballpark in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Jake Cronenworth has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.

Petco Park grades out as the #26 ballpark in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph average last season has lowered to 87.3-mph.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today. Petco Park grades out as the #26 ballpark in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gabriel Moreno has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. In terms of plate discipline, Gabriel Moreno's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.51 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 94th percentile.

Donovan Solano's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Donovan Solano is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Donovan Solano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Donovan Solano's launch angle this season (17.7°) is considerably better than his 12.9° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Christian Walker has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.3% rate last year to 16.5% this year. Christian Walker has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.3-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ha-seong Kim will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Ha-seong Kim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph lately. Ha-seong Kim has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 98th percentile with a 1.18 K/BB rate.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today's game. Joc Pederson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.7-mph. With a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Joc Pederson grades out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the league. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Ketel Marte has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 91.1-mph mark. Sporting a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Ketel Marte is ranked in the 89th percentile for hitting ability. Ketel Marte has recorded a .279 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 17.6%.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. Jurickson Profar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 93.3-mph in the past two weeks. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 42% to 50.2%. Using Statcast data, Jurickson Profar grades out in the 95th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .369.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.1% to 46.2% this season. Posting a 1.47 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Kyle Higashioka will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Kyle Higashioka has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 45.8° angle over the past week. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25.7%.