World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksLAD 498, SF 132
Total PicksLAD 184, SF 113
Miguel Rojas is penciled in 7th in the lineup today. 19% of the time that Miguel Rojas has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Randy Rodriguez throws from, Miguel Rojas encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Randy Rodriguez throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have a tough challenge today. Among all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Freddie Freeman's launch angle of late (5.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.4° seasonal angle.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Chris Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .210 rate is considerably lower than his .269 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. The standard deviation of Chris Taylor's launch angle since the start of last season (25.3°) is in the 92nd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Heliot Ramos meets a tough challenge today. Heliot Ramos has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Bobby Miller Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage today. Patrick Bailey has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph mark.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bobby Miller will have the handedness advantage against Nick Ahmed in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Ahmed will hold that advantage today. Nick Ahmed has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 2.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games. Last season, Nick Ahmed had an average launch angle of 11.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 15°.
Among all stadiums, Oracle Park's RF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Gavin Lux will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Rodriguez today. Gavin Lux has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 4.3% seasonal rate to 9.5% over the last two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gavin Lux's true offensive ability to be a .303, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .048 deviation between that mark and his actual .255 wOBA.
Jason Heyward is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Randy Rodriguez throws from, Jason Heyward will have the upper hand today. Jason Heyward pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Jason Heyward's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph of late.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, David Villar will be in a tough position today. David Villar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, David Villar has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .157 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .218.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bobby Miller will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Fitzgerald today. Tyler Fitzgerald has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage today. Tyler Fitzgerald is quite fast, ranking in the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.76 ft/sec this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Luis Matos meets a tough challenge in today's game. Luis Matos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Luis Matos's launch angle of late (23.8° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 14° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 6th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. Austin Slater is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Austin Slater will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Austin Slater has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bobby Miller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Curt Casali in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Curt Casali will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Matt Chapman will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andy Pages ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andy Pages is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andy Pages has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 21.2% in the last two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Andy Pages's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 96.1-mph in recent games.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kike Hernandez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph average. Kike Hernandez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.6°, Kike Hernandez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 45° mark in the past week's worth of games. Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kike Hernandez has had bad variance on his side given the .042 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.
Michael Conforto has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.
Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | chefsloan7 | 7-3-0 | +18210 |
| 2 | charro23 | 5-4-1 | +17850 |
| 3 | jazzmatazz | 6-4-0 | +17510 |
| 4 | alayne89 | 6-4-0 | +17150 |
| 5 | doomsday07 | 7-3-0 | +16820 |
| 6 | Huskerdave | 6-4-0 | +15895 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 8-2-0 | +15680 |
| 8 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +15400 |
| 9 | CNOTES | 7-3-0 | +14830 |
| 10 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +14695 |
| All Giants Money Leaders | |||