Detroit @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Matt Vierling is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. In notching a .274 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Matt Vierling grades out in the 80th percentile. In notching a .293 batting average this year, Matt Vierling finds himself in the 90th percentile.

Josh Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Given Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Josh Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Josh Smith grades out in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .347. Since the start of last season, Josh Smith's 10.7% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Corey Seager is projected as the 9th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage over Jack Flaherty today... and even more favorably, Flaherty has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Corey Seager has been very fortunate this year. His .272 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .254.

Justyn-Henry Malloy has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Wenceel Perez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Wenceel Perez is notably quick, placing in the 80th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.31 ft/sec this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mark Canha ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Mark Canha has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 1.85 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jack Flaherty... and even better, Flaherty has a large platoon split. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Posting a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Leody Taveras grades out in the 78th percentile for offensive skills. Leody Taveras has posted a .300 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's game. Wyatt Langford has been unlucky this year, compiling a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .046 difference. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.61 ft/sec this year, Wyatt Langford is remarkably quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Duran grades out in the 76th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .342. Ezequiel Duran has posted a .280 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ezequiel Duran has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.2 mph (an advanced stat to measure power), checking in at the 92nd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Using Statcast metrics, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 88th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .356. Since the start of last season, Adolis Garcia's 16.2% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game... and moreover, Dunning has a large platoon split. Riley Greene is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Riley Greene has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Given Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage today. With a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nathaniel Lowe is positioned in the 80th percentile for hitting ability.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Jonah Heim and his 18.3% rank in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

Considering Dane Dunning's large platoon split, Akil Baddoo will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Akil Baddoo can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.02 ft/sec since the start of last season, Akil Baddoo is remarkably toolsy.

Because of Dane Dunning's large platoon split, Zach McKinstry will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) may lead us to conclude that Zach McKinstry has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .224 actual batting average. Zach McKinstry's 17.7° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in baseball: 88th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game. Marcus Semien is in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.2% rate since the start of last season). With a 1.84 K/BB rate this year, Marcus Semien has displayed good plate discipline, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Colt Keith is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Considering Dane Dunning's large platoon split, Colt Keith will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Colt Keith may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Colt Keith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .045 gap.

In terms of his batting average, Javier Baez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .188 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280.

Since the start of last season, Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Jake Rogers's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season. Jake Rogers grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20.2% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gio Urshela is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Gio Urshela ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.6% rate since the start of last season). In notching a .296 batting average since the start of last season, Gio Urshela finds himself in the 97th percentile.

Carson Kelly has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.