Minnesota @ New York Picks & Props

The #7 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Bailey Ober will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Volpe today. In today's game, Anthony Volpe is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (80th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Since the start of last season, Ryan Jeffers's 11.7% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers. Placing in the 99th percentile, the hardest ball Ryan Jeffers has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Royce Lewis is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Since the start of last season, Royce Lewis's 12.2% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 85th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Royce Lewis has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 114 mph (a reliable stat to measure power), ranking in the 90th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Sporting a .336 BABIP this year, Willi Castro grades out in the 83rd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Byron Buxton, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Despite posting a .291 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Byron Buxton has had some very poor luck given the .043 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334. Byron Buxton's 14.4% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Gleyber Torres will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has been unlucky given the .045 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Max Kepler is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Gil in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Max Kepler has notched a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Vazquez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Vazquez's true offensive ability to be a .263, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .096 deviation between that mark and his actual .167 wOBA. Christian Vazquez ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like DJ LeMahieu tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Anthony Rizzo will have an edge in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Anthony Rizzo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Anthony Rizzo ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Alex Kirilloff will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Based on Statcast data, Alex Kirilloff grades out in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .351. Using Statcast data, Alex Kirilloff grades out in the 88th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .286.

Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today's game. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .209 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Gil today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Since the start of last season, Trevor Larnach's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 94th percentile at 97 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.275) may lead us to conclude that Carlos Correa has suffered from bad luck this year with his .259 actual batting average. Checking in at the 85th percentile, the hardest ball Carlos Correa has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.2 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jose Miranda is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Jose Miranda has put up a .282 batting average this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Trevino has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .231 rate is deflated compared to his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jose Trevino has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 77th percentile with a 2.13 K/BB rate.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the majors. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Aaron Judge will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Giancarlo Stanton has experienced some negative variance this year. His .231 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.