Baltimore @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 8th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of all the teams today. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 8th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Westburg in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 8th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Grayson Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today. Placing in the 24th percentile, Bo Bichette sports a .277 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 14th-best out of all the teams in action today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) provides evidence that Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .223 actual batting average. Jorge Mateo has really hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him among baseball's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Jorge Mateo is remarkably fast, grading out in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.97 ft/sec this year.

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .206 figure is a good deal lower than his .210 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 96th percentile.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has been hot recently, batting his way to a .400 wOBA over the last week.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. In the past 14 days, Adley Rutschman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .348. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Adley Rutschman has experienced some positive variance this year. His .348 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn has recorded a .274 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year. His .351 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .365.

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Hays's true offensive talent to be a .305, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .091 deviation between that figure and his actual .214 wOBA. In notching a .328 BABIP since the start of last season, Austin Hays is ranked in the 87th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand today. Cedric Mullins II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 14th-best out of all the teams in action today. Despite posting a .236 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky given the .070 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306. Cedric Mullins II's 21.7° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 99th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today. Utilizing Statcast data, Davis Schneider is in the 96th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .380.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup.

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 14th-best out of all the teams in action today. Grading out in the 89th percentile, Ramon Urias has put up a .333 BABIP since the start of last season.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Since the start of last season, Anthony Santander has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which ranks among the elite in MLB at the 76th percentile. Anthony Santander's 20.1° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 95th percentile.

Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Justin Turner has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 25.13 ft/sec to 25.59 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Justin Turner has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 15.9° figure is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (85th percentile). With a 1.5 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Danny Jansen and his 21.4% rank in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. By putting up a .350 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Danny Jansen finds himself in the 86th percentile.

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Daniel Vogelbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Daniel Vogelbach has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 23.64 ft/sec to 24.25 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Kevin Kiermaier has notched a .321 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, George Springer has suffered from bad luck this year. His .273 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .419. George Springer's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 115.9 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile.