Chicago @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Nick Nastrini throws from, William Contreras meets a tough challenge today. Despite posting a .383 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes William Contreras has had some very good luck given the .042 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341. William Contreras's 4.6° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the game: 5th percentile.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Andruw Monasterio ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.7% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Nastrini throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today's matchup. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Blake Perkins will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Danny Mendick has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 25.55 ft/sec to 26.28 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Bats such as Jackson Chourio with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Nastrini who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jackson Chourio will hold that advantage in today's game. Jackson Chourio has been unlucky this year, posting a .252 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .038 discrepancy.

The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have an edge today. Dominic Fletcher grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23.9% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oliver Dunn in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Nastrini throws from, Oliver Dunn will have an edge in today's game. Hitters such as Oliver Dunn with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Nastrini who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Rhys Hoskins will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Placing in the 83rd percentile, Rhys Hoskins sits with a .350 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Paul DeJong ranks in the 84th percentile with a 16.9° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

Corey Julks is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Corey Julks ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.2% rate since the start of last season). In notching a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, Corey Julks finds himself in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, Tommy Pham is in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .364.

The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today. Gavin Sheets hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. With a 1.25 K/BB rate this year, Gavin Sheets has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 95th percentile.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Nick Nastrini throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge in today's game.

Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage against Nick Nastrini today. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Nastrini in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's 18.4% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 97th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 92nd percentile at 96.5 mph.

Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Nicky Lopez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Nicky Lopez's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.78 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 81st percentile.

Zach Remillard has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.