Baltimore @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Clevinger throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn's 91.9-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the league since the start of last season: 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Mike Clevinger in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has been hot of late, putting up a .371 wOBA over the past two weeks. Posting a 1.92 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Colton Cowser has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Danny Mendick has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Danny Mendick will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Using Statcast metrics, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .286. Ranked in the 77th percentile, Jordan Westburg has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game since the start of last season (90.2-mph).

The weather forecast projects the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Mike Clevinger today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's game.

The weather forecast projects the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive ability to be a .356, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .036 gap between that mark and his actual .392 wOBA.

Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Zach Remillard will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Andrew Vaughn has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage today. Andrew Vaughn's quickness has increased this season. His 25.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.24 ft/sec now.

Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's game.

Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .225 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jorge Mateo really hits the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rate him as one of the game's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Jorge Mateo is very quick, grading out in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.89 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Tommy Pham will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Tommy Pham has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .267 figure is considerably lower than his .294 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Andrew Benintendi has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andrew Benintendi's true offensive ability to be a .310, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .094 deviation between that figure and his actual .216 wOBA.

Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage over Mike Clevinger today. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, compiling a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .060 discrepancy. Cedric Mullins II's 21.7° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in Major League Baseball: 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan Mountcastle has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) may lead us to conclude that Ryan Mountcastle has had positive variance on his side this year with his .256 actual batting average. Ryan Mountcastle's 12% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 81st percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ryan Mountcastle has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.6 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), checking in at the 89th percentile.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Baltimore's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Paul DeJong, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Paul DeJong's 16.9° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 84th percentile.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's game. Gavin Sheets has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.44 K/BB rate.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ranked in the 76th percentile, Anthony Santander has one of the highest average exit velocities in the league since the start of last season (90.6-mph). In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.1° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.