Kansas City @ Seattle Picks & Props
KC vs SEA Picks
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KC vs SEA Consensus Picks
67% picking Seattle
Total PicksKC 293, SEA 589
KC vs SEA Props
MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
When estimating his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, MJ Melendez will have the upper hand today. MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, MJ Melendez has been unlucky this year. His .269 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .367. MJ Melendez's 11.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.
Dylan Moore Total Hits Props • Seattle
Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage in today's game. With a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Dylan Moore grades out in the 86th percentile for hitting ability. Dylan Moore's 98-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.
Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Massey has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .282 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314. Michael Massey's 19.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the majors: 93rd percentile.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Maikel Garcia's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Maikel Garcia has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289. Maikel Garcia's 91.8-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in baseball since the start of last season: 90th percentile.
Luis Urias Total Hits Props • Seattle
Luis Urias pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Urias will hold that advantage today.
Ty France Total Hits Props • Seattle
Ty France's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.
Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In notching a .372 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Vinnie Pasquantino has performed in the 96th percentile for offensive ability.
Sam Haggerty Total Hits Props • Seattle
Sam Haggerty pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Sam Haggerty will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Sam Haggerty has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .300 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326.
Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle
Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 85th percentile among his peers.
Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Seattle
Josh Rojas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage in today's matchup. Josh Rojas has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Posting a .307 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bobby Witt Jr. has performed in the 98th percentile. Bobby Witt Jr.'s 11.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.
Nelson Velázquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB. In notching a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez is positioned in the 86th percentile for hitting ability. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 89th percentile at 95.8 mph. Nelson Velazquez is in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (22.8% rate since the start of last season).
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Garrett Hampson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Garrett Hampson is in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (49.7% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 95th percentile, Garrett Hampson sits with a .374 BABIP since the start of last season.
Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle
The #2 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. This matchup is expected to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.7% rate since the start of last season).
Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Seattle
Mitch Garver is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Garver has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .272 mark is a good deal lower than his .292 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Mitch Garver's 12.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.
Mitch Haniger Total Hits Props • Seattle
Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Mitch Haniger will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Mitch Haniger grades out in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.9% rate since the start of last season).
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past 14 days, Salvador Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .396. Salvador Perez and his 15° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 77th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.
Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Seattle
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.
KC vs SEA Trends
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 22 games (-6.35 Units / -26% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 25 games (-5.95 Units / -20% ROI)
Seattle Trends
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.80 Units / 30% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+10.05 Units / 68% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 95% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.50 Units / 41% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+5.90 Units / 32% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 33 games (-19.60 Units / -48% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 23 games at home (-6.35 Units / -22% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 22 games at home (-6.20 Units / -23% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 122 games (-13.95 Units / -10% ROI)
KC vs SEA Top User Picks
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||
Seattle Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PaPe454 | 6-4-0 | +19444 |
| 2 | dotlife162 | 9-1-0 | +19315 |
| 3 | Roundrobinking | 6-4-0 | +17515 |
| 4 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +15505 |
| 5 | KingScorpio | 3-7-0 | +15095 |
| 6 | regger22 | 6-4-0 | +13250 |
| 7 | jr5601 | 4-5-1 | +12525 |
| 8 | adon131 | 5-5-0 | +12520 |
| 9 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +11975 |
| 10 | fragma8023 | 6-4-0 | +11743 |
| All Mariners Money Leaders | |||