Los Angeles @ San Diego Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Manny Machado has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .286 rate is considerably lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andy Pages has been hot lately, batting his way to a .351 wOBA in the last two weeks. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.41 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is very toolsy.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Max Muncy will have an edge in today's game. Max Muncy's 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Max Muncy's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 12th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. In terms of his batting average, Teoscar Hernandez has been lucky this year. His .258 BA has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232. Since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez's 13.8% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers. Teoscar Hernandez's 95-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Freddie Freeman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Freddie Freeman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .386 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .392.

Austin Barnes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Luis Campusano's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Campusano is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Luis Campusano's launch angle since the start of last season (25.7°) is in the 82nd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. In terms of his batting average, Miguel Rojas has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .293.

Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .209 figure is deflated compared to his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a 1.4 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Petco Park profiles as the #28 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of every team today. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Luis Arraez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) has been 104 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 1st percentile.

Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.289) provides evidence that Gavin Lux has had some very poor luck this year with his .229 actual wOBA.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .241 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has suffered from bad luck given the .084 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.358) suggests that Fernando Tatis Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year with his .332 actual wOBA.

Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .297 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .402 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. Jurickson Profar's footspeed has increased this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.43 ft/sec now. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.22 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 95th percentile. By putting up a .312 batting average this year, Jurickson Profar grades out in the 93rd percentile.

Kike Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Mookie Betts projects as the 8th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Since the start of last season, Mookie Betts's 12.8% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers. Ranked in the 95th percentile, Mookie Betts has one of the highest average exit velocities in baseball since the start of last season (92.4-mph).

Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, James Outman will have an advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, James Outman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .241 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .263. James Outman and his 17° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season. James Outman has compiled a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.