St. Louis @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Jackson Chourio's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Chourio will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 89th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.76 ft/sec this year, Jackson Chourio is remarkably fast.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Blake Perkins will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Christian Yelich's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 28.07 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.37 ft/sec now. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Christian Yelich ranks in just the 2nd percentile with a 3.3° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the majors.

Miles Mikolas will have the handedness advantage over William Contreras in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates William Contreras's true offensive talent to be a .343, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .065 disparity between that figure and his actual .408 wOBA. William Contreras's 4.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the league: 5th percentile.

Despite posting a .348 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brice Turang has been lucky given the .052 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296. Brice Turang has put up a .276 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 9th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Brice Turang's 2.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 7th percentile since the start of last season. Ranked in the 4th percentile, Brice Turang's average exit velocity of 85.5 mph ranks among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season. Brice Turang is in the 18th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (39.1% rate since the start of last season).

17% of the time that Alec Burleson has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson in today's game. Alec Burleson does not make a lot of hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.6 mph) rank him among MLB's worst: in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season. Alec Burleson is not very athletic, ranking in the 13th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.37 ft/sec this year.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.283) provides evidence that Nolan Arenado has experienced some positive variance this year with his .309 actual wOBA.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.267) suggests that Masyn Winn has had positive variance on his side this year with his .303 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Paul Goldschmidt has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .243 mark is a fair amount lower than his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Oliver Dunn will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Oliver Dunn will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Ivan Herrera's quickness has gotten better this season. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.49 ft/sec now.

Brendan Donovan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Bryse Wilson today.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Brandon Crawford will have an edge today. Brandon Crawford hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Matt Carpenter is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an edge in today's matchup. Matt Carpenter's 11.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jake Bauers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage today.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game. Checking in at the 90th percentile, Gary Sanchez has hit 44.2% of his balls in the air since the start of last season with a velocity of 100+ mph.