Toronto @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #22 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best among every team on the slate today. This season, there has been a decline in Alec Bohm's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.56 ft/sec last year to 26.01 ft/sec currently.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 96th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the league.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 8th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had some very poor luck this year. His .314 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .349.

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Danny Jansen and his 21.4% rank in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Danny Jansen has posted a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Davis Schneider pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Using Statcast data, Davis Schneider ranks in the 97th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .380. Since the start of last season, Davis Schneider's 17.8% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 97th percentile among his peers.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Johan Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Johan Rojas's footspeed has improved this season. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.98 ft/sec now. By putting up a .345 BABIP since the start of last season, Johan Rojas is positioned in the 88th percentile.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Cavan Biggio ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (23% rate since the start of last season). A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play, and Cavan Biggio's 26.5° mark (79th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt today.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Bo Bichette's footspeed has increased this season. His 27.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.68 ft/sec now. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bo Bichette's true offensive skill to be a .333, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .103 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .230 wOBA.

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, George Springer has had some very poor luck this year. His .260 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .394.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Edmundo Sosa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.48 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is very quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .291 figure is a good deal higher than his .249 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Castellanos's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .242 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Castellanos has had bad variance on his side given the .077 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have an advantage in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Kevin Kiermaier has posted a .317 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Justin Turner has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.9° angle is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (85th percentile).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.