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Kansas City @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+600
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+600
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+400
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+400
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in Major League Baseball: 96th percentile.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in Major League Baseball: 96th percentile.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+425
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+425
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. MJ Melendez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.380) may lead us to conclude that MJ Melendez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .265 actual wOBA. MJ Melendez's 11.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. MJ Melendez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.380) may lead us to conclude that MJ Melendez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .265 actual wOBA. MJ Melendez's 11.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+400
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+400
Projection Rating

Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Massey has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .280 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314. Michael Massey's 19.6° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the league: 93rd percentile.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Massey has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .280 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314. Michael Massey's 19.6° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the league: 93rd percentile.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+400
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+400
Projection Rating

Daniel Vogelbach is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Daniel Vogelbach will have an advantage in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Daniel Vogelbach will hold that advantage today.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daniel Vogelbach is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Daniel Vogelbach will have an advantage in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Daniel Vogelbach will hold that advantage today.

Nelson Velazquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Velazquez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+350
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+350
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Using Statcast data, Nelson Velazquez ranks in the 86th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346. Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 89th percentile at 95.8 mph. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Nelson Velazquez and his 22.8% rank in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

Nelson Velazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Using Statcast data, Nelson Velazquez ranks in the 86th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346. Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 89th percentile at 95.8 mph. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Nelson Velazquez and his 22.8% rank in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Barger
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+295
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+295
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage today. Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage today. Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+220
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. George Springer will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. George Springer has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .279 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .405 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. George Springer will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. George Springer has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .279 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .405 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Bo Bichette's speed has gotten better this year. His 27.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.72 ft/sec now.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Bo Bichette's speed has gotten better this year. His 27.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.72 ft/sec now.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+195
Projection Rating

Maikel Garcia's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Maikel Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) provides evidence that Maikel Garcia has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .263 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Maikel Garcia has an average exit velocity of 91.8 mph, which ranks among the elite in Major League Baseball at the 90th percentile.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Maikel Garcia's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Maikel Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) provides evidence that Maikel Garcia has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .263 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Maikel Garcia has an average exit velocity of 91.8 mph, which ranks among the elite in Major League Baseball at the 90th percentile.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Toronto

I. Kiner-Falefa
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.257) suggests that Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had some very good luck this year with his .304 actual wOBA.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.257) suggests that Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had some very good luck this year with his .304 actual wOBA.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+215
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's matchup. By putting up a .380 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Davis Schneider finds himself in the 96th percentile for offensive ability. Since the start of last season, Davis Schneider's 17.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 97th percentile among his peers.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's matchup. By putting up a .380 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Davis Schneider finds himself in the 96th percentile for offensive ability. Since the start of last season, Davis Schneider's 17.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 97th percentile among his peers.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 10th-worst field in the game for righty batting average. Hitting from the same side that Chris Bassitt throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough challenge today. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 10th-worst field in the game for righty batting average. Hitting from the same side that Chris Bassitt throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough challenge today. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 11th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.295) may lead us to conclude that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .258 actual batting average.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 11th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.295) may lead us to conclude that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .258 actual batting average.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .297 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .297 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Danny Jansen is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Grading out in the 77th percentile, Danny Jansen has put up a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Danny Jansen is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Grading out in the 77th percentile, Danny Jansen has put up a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Toronto

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Justin Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Justin Turner has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .378.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Justin Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Justin Turner has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .378.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City

H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Despite posting a .216 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hunter Renfroe has had some very poor luck given the .088 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Renfroe has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph (an advanced standard to study power), grading out in the 75th percentile.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Despite posting a .216 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hunter Renfroe has had some very poor luck given the .088 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Renfroe has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph (an advanced standard to study power), grading out in the 75th percentile.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Cavan Biggio will have an advantage in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Cavan Biggio is in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (23% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Cavan Biggio's launch angle since the start of last season (26.5°) is in the 79th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Cavan Biggio will have an advantage in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Cavan Biggio is in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (23% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Cavan Biggio's launch angle since the start of last season (26.5°) is in the 79th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Over the past two weeks, Salvador Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .424. Salvador Perez and his 15° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 77th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Over the past two weeks, Salvador Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .424. Salvador Perez and his 15° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 77th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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