Cincinnati @ San Diego Picks & Props

Luis Campusano's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Luis Campusano and his 19.3% rank in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today.

Nick Martini has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Nick Martini will have an advantage today. Nick Martini has been unlucky this year, notching a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .050 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Petco Park profiles as the #27 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.346) implies that Ha-seong Kim has experienced some negative variance this year with his .307 actual wOBA. Ha-seong Kim has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Jake Fraley will have the upper hand in today's game. Jake Fraley has notched a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jake Fraley's 16.3° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 79th percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Jake Fraley's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.96 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 75th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Yu Darvish.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Spencer Steer has been hot in recent games, posting a .351 wOBA over the past 14 days.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.

Will Benson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today's game. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Will Benson's 94.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Luke Maile has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .297 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320. Luke Maile and his 19.5° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) suggests that Jonathan India has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Graham Pauley will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage today.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Tyler Wade will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler Wade will hold that advantage today.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.19 ft/sec this year, Stuart Fairchild is quite athletic.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jurickson Profar will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jurickson Profar has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 25.68 ft/sec to 26.7 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Jurickson Profar has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile with a 1.78 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.