ARID, Bally Sports Network

Arizona @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. In today's game, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.2% rate (100th percentile).

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. In today's game, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.2% rate (100th percentile).

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°. In today's matchup, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (82nd percentile). Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today's game.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°. In today's matchup, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (82nd percentile). Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today's game.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

P. Smith
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Projection Rating

Home runs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Home runs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Brendan Donovan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Brendan Donovan will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Brendan Donovan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Brendan Donovan will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Gabriel Moreno will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Gabriel Moreno will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Suárez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Steven Matz in today's matchup.

Eugenio Suárez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Steven Matz in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%.

Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Newman
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Kevin Newman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's matchup. Kevin Newman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Kevin Newman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kevin Newman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's matchup. Kevin Newman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Christian Walker will have an edge in today's game.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Christian Walker will have an edge in today's game.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker today. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker today. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Arizona

R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Randal Grichuk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's game.

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Randal Grichuk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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