Arizona @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. In today's game, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.2% rate (100th percentile).

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Paul Goldschmidt has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°. In today's matchup, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (82nd percentile). Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today's game.

Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home runs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brendan Donovan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Brendan Donovan will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Gabriel Moreno will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Steven Matz in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Christian Walker will have an edge in today's game.

Kevin Newman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's matchup. Kevin Newman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker today. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game.

Randal Grichuk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's game.

Tucker Barnhart has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Masyn Winn has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.