Baltimore @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-least humid conditions on the slate at 35%. Batting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. meets a tough challenge today. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's deepest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Austin Hays will have an advantage in today's game. Austin Hays has compiled a .326 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Jordan Westburg's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Westburg has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Jordan Westburg will have an edge today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Cole Ragans.

The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hunter Renfroe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Renfroe has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph (an advanced standard to study power), ranking in the 75th percentile.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Colton Cowser has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .483.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Over the last 14 days, Gunnar Henderson has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .379.

The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Nelson Velazquez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) is in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 89th percentile at 95.8 mph.

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have an advantage today.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Cole Ragans. Anthony Santander's 90.6-mph average exit velocity is among the best in baseball since the start of last season: 76th percentile.

The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Ragans in today's matchup. Ramon Urias has compiled a .341 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Michael Massey will have an advantage in today's matchup. Michael Massey will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Massey has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .285 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, MJ Melendez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage today.

The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, James McCann will have an edge in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) suggests that James McCann has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .228 actual batting average. Ranking in the 79th percentile, the hardest ball James McCann has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.1 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Salvador Perez has been hot lately, putting up a .397 wOBA over the past two weeks.

The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Jorge Mateo will have the upper hand in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .270 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323. Jorge Mateo can really hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him as one of the game's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Jackson Holliday has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Cedric Mullins has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.