Milwaukee @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.368) provides evidence that Paul Goldschmidt has experienced some negative variance this year with his .240 actual wOBA. Paul Goldschmidt's 12.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta in today's game. Nolan Gorman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nolan Gorman's 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 98th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 93rd percentile at 95.6 mph.

Jackson Chourio is very fast, placing in the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.94 ft/sec this year.

Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Victor Scott will have the upper hand in today's game. Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Victor Scott will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Victor Scott is quite toolsy, placing in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.41 ft/sec this year.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Jake Bauers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .290 figure is considerably lower than his .324 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jake Bauers's 18.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 92nd percentile at 96.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage today. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Sal Frelick's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 88th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. With a .373 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Willson Contreras grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive skills. Willson Contreras has put up a .281 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Willy Adames's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season. Willy Adames has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 21° mark is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (98th percentile).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Gary Sanchez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today. Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .276 BA is quite a bit lower than his .310 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the past 7 days, Blake Perkins has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .382.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado's 16.9° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the game: 84th percentile. Nolan Arenado has posted a .271 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras has been hot of late, cruising to a .441 wOBA over the past week. Ranked in the 85th percentile, William Contreras has one of the highest average exit velocities in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (91.3-mph).

Oliver Dunn is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Oliver Dunn will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.98 ft/sec this year, Oliver Dunn is remarkably quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Jordan Walker has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .266 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .281. In notching a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jordan Walker is ranked in the 78th percentile for offensive ability.

Ivan Herrera has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.