Minnesota @ Baltimore Picks & Props

11% of the time that Manuel Margot has started against a lefty hurler since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manuel Margot in today's game. Since the start of last season, Manuel Margot's 3.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 13th percentile among his peers. Manuel Margot's 89.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Manuel Margot has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 5.8° figure is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (7th percentile).

Jose Miranda's BABIP skill is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). 40% of the time that Jose Miranda has started against a southpaw since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for. Jose Miranda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's deepest LF fences today. Jose Miranda will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Jose Miranda has been cold recently, struggling to the tune of a .213 wOBA in the last week's worth of games.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Louie Varland Adley Rutschman has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's deepest LF fences today.

In today's game, Ryan Jeffers is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (75th percentile). Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan Jeffers in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ryan Jeffers has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .365 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

Gunnar Henderson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's deepest LF fences today. Gunnar Henderson's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 28.74 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.22 ft/sec now.

Louie Varland will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 stadium in the majors for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Using Statcast data, Edouard Julien ranks in the 91st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .364. Since the start of last season, Edouard Julien's 13% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 stadium in the majors for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage over Louie Varland in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage today.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 stadium in the majors for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Louie Varland throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage in today's matchup. With a .328 BABIP since the start of last season, Austin Hays is ranked in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 stadium in the majors for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Louie Varland throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Jordan Westburg will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Jordan Westburg has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .261 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .286.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 stadium in the majors for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Louie Varland today.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 stadium in the majors for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for hitting on the slate. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Cole Irvin in today's game. In terms of plate discipline, Carlos Santana's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.72 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Byron Buxton will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Irvin in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Christian Vazquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today's game. Christian Vazquez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Christian Vazquez has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .217 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Farmer is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Kyle Farmer will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kyle Farmer has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17.4° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (92nd percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for righty BABIP. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for hitting on the slate. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Cole Irvin today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Austin Martin will have the upper hand in today's game. Ranking in the 79th percentile for Sprint Speed at 27.94 ft/sec this year, Austin Martin is notably toolsy.