New York @ Cleveland Picks & Props

The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Steven Kwan has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last 14 days. Steven Kwan has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, angling balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the last 14 days.

Will Brennan is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Will Brennan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game. With a .242 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games, Will Brennan has been struggling at the plate. Will Brennan has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Caleb Baragar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony Rizzo in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Giancarlo Stanton has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 16.7% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 14 days. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 83.5-mph average. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Giancarlo Stanton's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

Tyler Freeman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Freeman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Tyler Freeman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compiling a 97.1-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days, Tyler Freeman has been in great form of late.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Anthony Volpe ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Anthony Volpe has been hot of late, posting a .447 wOBA over the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the game. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Batting from the same side that Caleb Baragar throws from, Juan Soto meets a tough challenge today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Over the last 14 days, Juan Soto has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 19°.

Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Phil Bickford in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bickford has a large platoon split. Bo Naylor will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Bo Naylor's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 100% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Gleyber Torres has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the game. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Aaron Judge's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (68° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 45° seasonal mark. The standard deviation of Aaron Judge's launch angle has been very consistent recently (35.5° in the past two weeks), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Caleb Baragar will have the handedness advantage against Alex Verdugo in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP. Alex Verdugo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Phil Bickford... and even better, Bickford has a large platoon split. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Caleb Baragar Over the past 14 days, Oswaldo Cabrera has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .400.

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Brayan Rocchio pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage today.

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Phil Bickford in today's matchup... and moreover, Bickford has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's game. Andres Gimenez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 95.2-mph over the last two weeks.

Because of Phil Bickford's large platoon split, Estevan Florial will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Estevan Florial will hold that advantage in today's game.

Caleb Baragar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Wells today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Austin Wells has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Austin Wells has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Austin Hedges has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Gabriel Arias has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ramon Laureano has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

David Fry has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.