MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 9, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Jul 9 • 12:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an edge today.. Mike Yastrzemski has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 7 days.
Total Bases
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Henry Davis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Henry Davis has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95-mph average to last year's 92.5-mph EV.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Thu, Jul 9 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tropicana Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball bats like Austin Wells tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Jul 9 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.24
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand today.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.05
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and moreover, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Salvador Perez has experienced some negative variance given the .063 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Thu, Jul 9 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers today.. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Jul 9 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+166)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Jul 9 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Kay in today's game.
Total Bases
Romy Gonzalez logo
Romy Gonzalez o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 16th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill.. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against Anthony Kay today.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, Jul 9 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Otto Lopez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13% in the last 7 days.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the league's 7th-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Janson Junk in today's game.. Cal Raleigh has a ton of pop (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk has a pitch-to-contact profile (20th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cal Raleigh has suffered from bad luck given the .091 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Jul 9 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 17th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average.. Comerica Park has the shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Total RBIs
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+132)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 17th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average.. Comerica Park has the shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Thu, Jul 9 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best batter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best park in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and moreover, Singer has a huge platoon split.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+196)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best park in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like JJ Bleday tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and JJ Bleday will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 9 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°.. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an advantage today.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Thu, Jul 9 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Josh Lowe logo
Josh Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+243)
Projection 1.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Josh Lowe has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (98% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Josh Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today.. Josh Lowe has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.9-mph.
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Despite posting a .295 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jo Adell has experienced some negative variance given the .039 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.. Jo Adell has averaged 40.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Diego Padres logo SD Thu, Jul 9 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+101)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Petco Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Gavin Sheets's BABIP skill is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gavin Sheets has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. Petco Park ranks as the #27 park in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 17 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 27 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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