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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 6, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.47 |
-153 
|
o8.5 -122 
|
-1.5 +105 
|
|
4.14 |
+143
|
u9.0 -105 
|
+1.5 -113
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 overall.
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-0 in Reds last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 6-2 in Reds last 8 overall.
Top Projection
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
o0.5+153
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.91 |
-105
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
5.01 |
-105
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -184
|
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
- Over is 10-1-1 in Phillies last 12 home games.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
-130
|
o7.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
3.84 |
+120
|
u8.0 -127 
|
+1.5 -145
|
Boston
- Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+244)
o0.5+244
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+170
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.69 |
-190
|
u7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +120
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+150
|
o7.5 -108
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.30 |
-160
|
u7.5 -104
|
-1.5 +135
|
Detroit
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Guardians are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.89 |
-140
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.98 |
+130
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -136
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Marlins last 7 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (+257)
o0.5+257
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+136
|
o8.5 -104
|
+1.5 -154
|
|
4.82 |
-145
|
u8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +135
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
o0.5+197
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.19 |
-115
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
5.20 |
+105
|
u9.5 +102
|
+1.5 -152
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 road games.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
o0.5+159
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
-105
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.25 |
-105
|
u8.5 -128
|
+1.5 -178
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Houston
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 1-0-3 in Astros last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+194
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+101
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.12 |
-110
|
u7.5 -106
|
-1.5 +150
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 road games.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Ryan Vilade o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.78 |
-130
|
o11.0 -112
|
-1.5 +116
|
|
5.78 |
+120
|
u11.5 -121
|
+1.5 -135
|
St. Louis
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games.
- Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 vs. National League West.
Colorado
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 home games.
- Under is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
-105
|
o6.5 -155
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.18 |
-104
|
u7.5 -150
|
+1.5 -178
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
o0.5+221
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.16 |
+172
|
o7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.04 |
-190
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +115
|
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games as a road underdog.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 7-0 in Mariners last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in Mariners last 9 vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.27 |
+130
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
5.05 |
-140
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
Minnesota
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Twins last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 on grass.
- White Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)
o0.5+157
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+193
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.68 |
-213
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +108
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Nationals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 16-5 in Dodgers last 21 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
MIL
@
CIN
Sun, Sep 6 • 12:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 18th-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Jackson Chourio has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 1.97
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 18th-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Jackson Chourio has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
ATL
@
PHI
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an edge in today's matchup.. Drake Baldwin has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
BOS
@
BAL
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:35 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-105)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
BOS (-129)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
LAA
@
PIT
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Walbert Urena today.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Henry Davis o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
DET
@
CLE
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an edge in today's game.. Kevin McGonigle has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Nathaniel Lowe u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
CHC
@
MIA
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+325)
Projection 0.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Otto Lopez is projected as the 9th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
SF
@
NYM
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the game.. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his better side against Cesar Perdomo in this game.. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game.
TOR
@
KC
Sun, Sep 6 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 96°.. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 96°.. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
AZ
@
HOU
Sun, Sep 6 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total RBIs
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Christian Walker will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's game.
TB
@
TEX
Sun, Sep 6 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Typically, batters like Wyatt Langford who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ian Seymour.. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams on the slate today.. Wyatt Langford is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#1-best on the slate today).
Total Bases
Jorge Mateo u1.5 Total Bases (-280)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. In today's game, Jorge Mateo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (89th percentile).. The Texas Rangers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of all the teams playing today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jorge Mateo in today's matchup.
STL
@
COL
Sun, Sep 6 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Leahy in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Mickey Moniak will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°.. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Gordon throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's game.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
NYY
@
SD
Sun, Sep 6 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 82°.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Merrill's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 82°.. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game.. Jackson Merrill will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
ATH
@
SEA
Sun, Sep 6 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Lawrence Butler has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.
MIN
@
CHW
Sun, Sep 6 • 6:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+163)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the league's 2nd-best home run hitter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an edge today.. Munetaka Murakami has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (34.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Ober doesn't generate many whiffs (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Murakami.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
WAS
@
LAD
Sun, Sep 6 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the most humidity on the slate today at 87%.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the most humidity on the slate today at 87%.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
