Houston @ Arizona props

Mauricio Dubon has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game. Merrill Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mauricio Dubon today. Mauricio Dubon has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today. Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #2 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

Gabriel Moreno's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today's game.

Chas McCormick's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Chas McCormick has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week's worth of games.

Merrill Kelly will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Bregman today. Today, Alex Bregman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (88th percentile). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Alex Bregman's 27% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jace Peterson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jace Peterson stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Alek Thomas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

The #2 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Martin Maldonado's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (30° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 19.4° seasonal figure.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Jeremy Pena's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Using Statcast data, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .280.