BAL +173 o10.0
NYY -190 u10.0
DET -101 o8.5
TB -107 u8.5
TEX -105 o9.5
PIT -103 u9.5
CHW +183 o9.0
TOR -201 u9.0
ATL -128 o8.5
MIA +118 u8.5
MIL +120 o9.5
MIN -130 u9.5
CIN -113 o9.5
STL +105 u9.5
SEA -118 o11.5
CHC +109 u11.5
AZ -187 o12.5
COL +171 u12.5
BOS +142 o7.5
SF -154 u7.5
CLE -115 o9.5
ATH +106 u9.5
HOU -115 o9.0
LAA +106 u9.0
WAS +219 o9.5
LAD -244 u9.5
KC -106 o8.5
SD -102 u8.5
NYM +102 o9.5
PHI -111 u9.5
Bally Sports Network, NESN

Tampa Bay @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams today.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams today.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jonathan Aranda
J. Aranda
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Isaac Paredes
I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Trevor Story's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 20.5% on the season to 40% in the last 7 days.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Trevor Story's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 20.5% on the season to 40% in the last 7 days.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

Reese McGuire
R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Reese McGuire will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Reese McGuire hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Reese McGuire will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Reese McGuire hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston

Bobby Dalbec
B. Dalbec
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bobby Dalbec will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bobby Dalbec

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bobby Dalbec will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Alex Verdugo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Alex Verdugo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Rene Pinto Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Rene Pinto
R. Pinto
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rene Pinto has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Rene Pinto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Rene Pinto has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Rafael Devers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Rafael Devers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Curtis Mead Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Curtis Mead
C. Mead
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Curtis Mead hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Curtis Mead

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Curtis Mead hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

Enmanuel Valdez
E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today. Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today. Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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