Final Apr 30
STL 6 +124 o9.0
CIN 0 -135 u9.0
Final Apr 30
DET 7 +105 o8.0
HOU 4 -114 u8.0
Final Apr 30
ATL 1 -253 o10.0
COL 2 +227 u10.0
Final Apr 30
MIA 7 +269 o10.0
LAD 12 -304 u10.0
Final Apr 30
LAA 3 +123 o8.0
SEA 9 -134 u8.0
Final Apr 30
SF 3 +121 o7.0
SD 5 -131 u7.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 2 -102 o7.0
CLE 4 -106 u7.0
Final Apr 30
NYY 4 +110 o9.5
BAL 5 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 30
CHC 3 -169 o9.0
PIT 4 +155 u9.0
Final Apr 30
STL 9 -102 o9.5
CIN 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 30
WAS 2 +223 o8.0
PHI 7 -249 u8.0
Final Apr 30
KC 3 +142 o7.5
TB 0 -155 u7.5
Final (10) Apr 30
BOS 6 -101 o9.5
TOR 7 -108 u9.5
Final Apr 30
AZ 4 -107 o8.5
NYM 3 -101 u8.5
Final Apr 30
MIL 6 -145 o7.5
CHW 4 +133 u7.5
Final Apr 30
ATH 7 +131 o8.5
TEX 1 -142 u8.5
Bally Sports Network, NESN

Tampa Bay @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams today.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams today.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caminero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+135
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Aranda
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+127
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Trevor Story's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 20.5% on the season to 40% in the last 7 days.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Trevor Story's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 20.5% on the season to 40% in the last 7 days.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Reese McGuire will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Reese McGuire hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Reese McGuire will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Reese McGuire hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston

B. Dalbec
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bobby Dalbec will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bobby Dalbec

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bobby Dalbec will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Alex Verdugo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Alex Verdugo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Rene Pinto Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Pinto
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Rene Pinto has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Rene Pinto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Rene Pinto has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-280
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-280
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Rafael Devers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Rafael Devers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Curtis Mead Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Mead
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Curtis Mead hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Curtis Mead

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Curtis Mead hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today. Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today. Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.69
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.69
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110

Connor Wong has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-159
Under
+108
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.86
Best Odds
Over
-159
Under
+108

Wilyer Abreu has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Lowe
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.01
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-210
Under
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
1.01
Best Odds
Over
-210
Under
+130

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Diaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.25
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-240
Under
+110
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
1.25
Best Odds
Over
-240
Under
+110

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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