Milwaukee @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Posting a .275 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jordan Walker grades out in the 80th percentile. Jordan Walker grades out in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.3% rate this year).

Richie Palacios is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Adrian Houser today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Richie Palacios will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Richie Palacios's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph lately. Over the last two weeks, Richie Palacios's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Josh Donaldson ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Donaldson is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Josh Donaldson will have the handedness advantage over Zack Thompson in today's game. Josh Donaldson has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.9% rate last season to 17.2% this year. Josh Donaldson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.8-mph average to last year's 94.7-mph average.

Juniel Querecuto will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage against Zack Thompson in today's game. Willy Adames's launch angle lately (23.3° over the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 18.4° seasonal mark. Willy Adames has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .215 figure is a fair amount lower than his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Extreme groundball batters like Luken Baker generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Luken Baker will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Sal Frelick has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.12 K/BB rate. Sporting a .268 batting average this year, Sal Frelick grades out in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Thompson today. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. In the last week, William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 109.7-mph in recent games.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Zack Thompson. Carlos Santana has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days. Carlos Santana has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 84th percentile with a 1.7 K/BB rate.

Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Masyn Winn has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph to 87.6-mph over the past week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn's true offensive skill to be a .275, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .060 gap between that figure and his actual .215 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jose Fermin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jose Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Andruw Monasterio will have the handedness advantage over Zack Thompson today. In the last week's worth of games, Andruw Monasterio's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 11.1%. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.3°, Andruw Monasterio has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24° mark in the past week. By putting up a .328 BABIP this year, Andruw Monasterio finds himself in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today's game. Tommy Edman has been unlucky this year, putting up a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .002 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Willson Contreras has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 86.8-mph over the last week. Based on Statcast data, Willson Contreras grades out in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .373.

Tyrone Taylor will have the handedness advantage against Zack Thompson in today's game. Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Tyrone Taylor has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 91.4-mph. Over the last 14 days, Tyrone Taylor's 28.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%. Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .291 mark is a fair amount lower than his .314 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Nolan Arenado generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.