Toronto @ New York Picks & Props

Anthony Volpe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side this year. His .210 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248.

Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Michael King in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Over the last 7 days, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 14.3%. There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho's launch angle from last year's 14.5° to 20.5° this season.

Cavan Biggio is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 20.3% to 24%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Kevin Kiermaier has posted a .326 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 8th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this season (10.2°) is a considerable increase over his 3.9° mark last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.385) implies that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year with his .339 actual wOBA. As it relates to plate discipline, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s skill is quite good, sporting a 1.59 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 88th percentile.

Estevan Florial will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Estevan Florial will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Matt Chapman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.8-mph. In the past 7 days, Matt Chapman's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 37.5%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Davis Schneider's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 32.8% on the season to 36.4% over the last two weeks.

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kevin Gausman. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Oswaldo Cabrera's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.9%. Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year, putting up a .270 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .016 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .303 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Giancarlo Stanton has had some very poor luck given the .012 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Michael King today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Gleyber Torres will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Gleyber Torres's launch angle lately (33.8° in the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 15.1° seasonal angle.