Washington @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #3 venue in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 16-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Chris Bassitt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and moreover, Corbin has a large platoon split. Ernie Clement hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ernie Clement has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .223 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .246.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Lane Thomas has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 91.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 16.2% on the season to 26.7% in the last 7 days.

Ildemaro Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Compared to last year, Ildemaro Vargas has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 31.1% to 39% this season. Ildemaro Vargas has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .239 rate is a good deal lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ildemaro Vargas has shown strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 96th percentile with a 1.1 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Santiago Espinal will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) suggests that Santiago Espinal has been unlucky this year with his .222 actual batting average.

The #3 venue in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 16-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.2°, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (3° in the past 14 days).

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 14 days. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (20°) is considerably higher than his 14.5° figure last season. Daulton Varsho's launch angle of late (24.6° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 20° seasonal figure.

Jake Alu will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. Jake Alu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jake Alu has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.2-mph mark.

Davis Schneider is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Davis Schneider will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Davis Schneider has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .584.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game... and even more favorably, Corbin has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 21.2%.

Carter Kieboom is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Carter Kieboom hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Carter Kieboom has been hot recently, cruising to a .433 wOBA in the last week's worth of games. In the last 7 days, Carter Kieboom has averaged an impressive 98.6-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Riley Adams has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 96-mph over the last week. Riley Adams has recorded a .274 batting average this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.