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Cleveland @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

Whit Merrifield
W. Merrifield
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst venue in the game for RHB BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers. Whit Merrifield's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.1-mph mark last season has dropped off to 85-mph. Whit Merrifield's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 85-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 81.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst venue in the game for RHB BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers. Whit Merrifield's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.1-mph mark last season has dropped off to 85-mph. Whit Merrifield's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 85-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 81.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Oscar Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Oscar Gonzalez
O. Gonzalez
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Oscar Gonzalez's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oscar Gonzalez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Oscar Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu today. Oscar Gonzalez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Oscar Gonzalez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

Oscar Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Oscar Gonzalez's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oscar Gonzalez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Oscar Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu today. Oscar Gonzalez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Oscar Gonzalez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Steven Kwan
S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #3 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers. Hyun Jin Ryu will hold the platoon advantage over Steven Kwan in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #3 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers. Hyun Jin Ryu will hold the platoon advantage over Steven Kwan in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Andres Gimenez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .306 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .024 gap.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Andres Gimenez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .306 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .024 gap.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. George Springer will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's matchup... and moreover, Allen has a huge platoon split. George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. George Springer will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's matchup... and moreover, Allen has a huge platoon split. George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Gabriel Arias
G. Arias
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gabriel Arias's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Gabriel Arias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu today. Gabriel Arias has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .205 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .235 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Gabriel Arias's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) has been 114.4 mph this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Gabriel Arias's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Gabriel Arias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu today. Gabriel Arias has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .205 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .235 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Gabriel Arias's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) has been 114.4 mph this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

Davis Schneider
D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Davis Schneider is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Allen has a huge platoon split. Davis Schneider will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Davis Schneider is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Allen has a huge platoon split. Davis Schneider will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jose Ramirez
J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst venue in the game for RHB BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers. The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will bat from his worse side (0) today against Hyun Jin Ryu Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Ramirez in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Jose Ramirez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-2.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.2°.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst venue in the game for RHB BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers. The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will bat from his worse side (0) today against Hyun Jin Ryu Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Ramirez in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Jose Ramirez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-2.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.2°.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

Bo Bichette
B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst venue in the game for RHB BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers. Bo Bichette's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.9-mph in the past two weeks. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 14.4% on the season to 11.1% over the past two weeks.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst venue in the game for RHB BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers. Bo Bichette's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.9-mph in the past two weeks. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 14.4% on the season to 11.1% over the past two weeks.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst venue in the game for RHB BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 14 days. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 94.9-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 85-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (-7° over the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 6.8° seasonal angle.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst venue in the game for RHB BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 14 days. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 94.9-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 85-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (-7° over the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 6.8° seasonal angle.

Tyler Freeman Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Tyler Freeman
T. Freeman
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Tyler Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu in today's matchup. Tyler Freeman has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 28.1 ft/sec to 28.83 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.337) may lead us to conclude that Tyler Freeman has been unlucky this year with his .278 actual wOBA.

Tyler Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Tyler Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu in today's matchup. Tyler Freeman has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 28.1 ft/sec to 28.83 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.337) may lead us to conclude that Tyler Freeman has been unlucky this year with his .278 actual wOBA.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

Danny Jansen
D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today... and moreover, Allen has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage today. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 21.1%.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today... and moreover, Allen has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage today. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 21.1%.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

Matt Chapman
M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen today... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Matt Chapman's launch angle lately (24.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 16.9° seasonal mark.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen today... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Matt Chapman's launch angle lately (24.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 16.9° seasonal mark.

Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Myles Straw
M. Straw
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Myles Straw will hold the platoon advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game.

Myles Straw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Myles Straw will hold the platoon advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Ramon Laureano
R. Laureano
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Ramon Laureano will hold the platoon advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu in today's matchup. Despite posting a .287 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ramon Laureano has suffered from bad luck given the .045 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Ramon Laureano will hold the platoon advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu in today's matchup. Despite posting a .287 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ramon Laureano has suffered from bad luck given the .045 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Eric Haase
E. Haase
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Eric Haase will have the handedness advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu today. Despite posting a .234 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eric Haase has experienced some negative variance given the .065 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Eric Haase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Eric Haase will have the handedness advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu today. Despite posting a .234 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eric Haase has experienced some negative variance given the .065 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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