The Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees will open the final Sunday of baseball before the All-Star break with a rubber match.
The Yankees' mediocre July could use a series win to go into a few days off; meanwhile, the Cubs are looking to cool those ambitions. Who will get the series win? We think we know.
My Cubs vs. Yankees predictions break it down here as I bring you my MLB picks when the two teams meet Sunday, July 13th.
Cubs vs Yankees prediction
My Cubs vs Yankees best bet: New York Yankees moneyline (-130 at Caesars)
Stop me if you've heard this before. A pitcher who is due for some negative regression heads to Yankee Stadium with an already pre-existing barrel rate issue. Let me know if you can guess what usually happens to him.
That's precisely the case for Chicago Cubs hurler Shota Imanaga today and why we'll be on the Yankees moneyline for our best bet.
The lefty comes into this game riding his luck. His expected ERA has soared over four while his actual ERA remains around 2. Elements are pointing to his results not being sustainable, too, like an expected slugging percentage nearly .500 or a ground ball rate that sits in the bottom 2% of all qualified starting pitchers.
These are not issues you want facing a New York Yankees lineup that's full of power going to a homerun-friendly stadium.
Unless you've been living under a rock, you know the Yankees DNA: A walk and a knock. Like they finished last season (1.47 per game), the Yankees will go into the All-Star break leading the majors in homers at 1.58 per game.
In addition to that, they lead the majors in barrel rate. Imanaga is due for some regression, and this is a good place to expect that to occur. On the other side, Will Warren will take the mound, and we need a solid outing from him.
His past two starts have been a bit bumpy, but they've also been filled with poor luck. I suspect that shifts today.
That said, today is mostly a fade of Imanaga.
Caesars QuickPick: Our Cubs vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)
Yankees moneyline
Cody Bellinger 1+ home runs
When you lead the majors in isolated power against lefties like Aaron Judge, then your odds are gonna to reflect that, and that's the case with him today. Some books have the Yankees star as low as +150 to go deep.
While there's sound logic in that, I choose to go a little deeper. Cody Bellinger hit two homers against his former team to open this series and will come into this game with the 12th highest isolated power rating in the majors against southpaws.
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Cubs vs Yankees odds
Cubs vs Yankees live odds
Cubs vs Yankees opening odds
- Moneyline: Chicago (+104) | New York (-122)
- Run line: Chicago +1.5 (-192) | New York -1.5 (+158)
- Over/Under: Over 9 (-110) | Under 9 (-110)
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
Cubs vs Yankees trend
The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 65% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Yankees.
How to watch Cubs vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Sunday, 7-13-2025 |
| First pitch | 1:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB Network, MARQ, YES |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Shota Imanaga (5-3, 2.80 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Will Warren (6-4, 4.70 ERA) |
Cubs vs Yankees latest injuries
Cubs vs Yankees weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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