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AT&T Sportsnet, Bally Sports Network

Colorado @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alan Trejo Total Hits Props • Colorado

Alan Trejo
A. Trejo
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Tropicana Field. Alan Trejo is in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (56.2% rate this year). A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Alan Trejo's 24.9° mark (87th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

Alan Trejo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Tropicana Field. Alan Trejo is in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (56.2% rate this year). A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Alan Trejo's 24.9° mark (87th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

Nolan Jones
N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. In MLB, Tropicana Field's right field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Erasmo Ramirez in today's game. Sporting a .366 BABIP this year, Nolan Jones is ranked in the 90th percentile.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. In MLB, Tropicana Field's right field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Erasmo Ramirez in today's game. Sporting a .366 BABIP this year, Nolan Jones is ranked in the 90th percentile.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

Michael Toglia
M. Toglia
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

Brenton Doyle
B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brenton Doyle has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle's launch angle in recent games (37.7° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 11.8° seasonal figure. Despite posting a .249 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has had some very poor luck given the .029 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .278.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Brenton Doyle has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle's launch angle in recent games (37.7° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 11.8° seasonal figure. Despite posting a .249 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has had some very poor luck given the .029 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .278.

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

Charlie Blackmon
C. Blackmon
designated hitter DH • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage over Erasmo Ramirez today. Charlie Blackmon has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph. Charlie Blackmon's launch angle this year (19.3°) is considerably higher than his 12.1° figure last season.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage over Erasmo Ramirez today. Charlie Blackmon has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph. Charlie Blackmon's launch angle this year (19.3°) is considerably higher than his 12.1° figure last season.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ryan McMahon
R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Erasmo Ramirez in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 17.5% on the season to 40% in the last week's worth of games. Ryan McMahon's 96-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 94th percentile this year.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Erasmo Ramirez in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 17.5% on the season to 40% in the last week's worth of games. Ryan McMahon's 96-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 94th percentile this year.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ezequiel Tovar
E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Ezequiel Tovar has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Ezequiel Tovar has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Luke Raley
L. Raley
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's matchup. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Luke Raley has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.4-mph in the last 14 days. By putting up a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luke Raley is ranked in the 92nd percentile.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's matchup. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Luke Raley has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.4-mph in the last 14 days. By putting up a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luke Raley is ranked in the 92nd percentile.

Austin Wynns Total Hits Props • Colorado

Austin Wynns
A. Wynns
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Austin Wynns has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. This season, Austin Wynns has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91 mph compared to last year's 87.8 mph mark.

Austin Wynns

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Austin Wynns has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. This season, Austin Wynns has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91 mph compared to last year's 87.8 mph mark.

Rene Pinto Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Rene Pinto
R. Pinto
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rene Pinto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Rene Pinto has displayed impressive power, recording a a 37.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power). Notching a 96.1-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days, Rene Pinto has been in great form recently. Rene Pinto has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, angling balls between 23° and 34° 37.5% of the time in the last 7 days.

Rene Pinto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Rene Pinto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Rene Pinto has displayed impressive power, recording a a 37.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power). Notching a 96.1-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days, Rene Pinto has been in great form recently. Rene Pinto has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, angling balls between 23° and 34° 37.5% of the time in the last 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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