Colorado @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Tropicana Field. Alan Trejo is in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (56.2% rate this year). A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Alan Trejo's 24.9° mark (87th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. In MLB, Tropicana Field's right field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Erasmo Ramirez in today's game. Sporting a .366 BABIP this year, Nolan Jones is ranked in the 90th percentile.

Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Brenton Doyle has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle's launch angle in recent games (37.7° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 11.8° seasonal figure. Despite posting a .249 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has had some very poor luck given the .029 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .278.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Ezequiel Tovar has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's matchup. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Luke Raley has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.4-mph in the last 14 days. By putting up a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luke Raley is ranked in the 92nd percentile.

Austin Wynns has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. This season, Austin Wynns has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91 mph compared to last year's 87.8 mph mark.

Rene Pinto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Rene Pinto has displayed impressive power, recording a a 37.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power). Notching a 96.1-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days, Rene Pinto has been in great form recently. Rene Pinto has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, angling balls between 23° and 34° 37.5% of the time in the last 7 days.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.