STL +130 o9.0
CIN -141 u9.0
DET +112 o8.0
HOU -121 u8.0
ATL -272 o10.0
COL +243 u10.0
MIA +268 o9.5
LAD -302 u9.5
LAA +132 o8.5
SEA -143 u8.5
SF +133 o7.0
SD -145 u7.0
MIN -124 o7.0
CLE +115 u7.0
NYY +104 o9.5
BAL -112 u9.5
CHC -151 o8.5
PIT +139 u8.5
STL +114 o9.5
CIN -123 u9.5
WAS +189 o7.5
PHI -208 u7.5
KC +154 o8.0
TB -168 u8.0
BOS -108 o9.0
TOR +100 u9.0
AZ -106 o8.5
NYM -102 u8.5
MIL -157 o7.5
CHW +145 u7.5
ATH +135 o8.5
TEX -147 u8.5
ARID, Bally Sports Network

Arizona @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. The weather report the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa today. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Carlos Correa's launch angle in recent games (-2.4° in the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 11° seasonal angle.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

In Major League Baseball, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. The weather report the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa today. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Carlos Correa's launch angle in recent games (-2.4° in the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 11° seasonal angle.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. The weather report the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 87.2-mph in the last 14 days.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

In Major League Baseball, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. The weather report the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 87.2-mph in the last 14 days.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

The weather report the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dallas Keuchel will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Carroll today. Corbin Carroll has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll's true offensive talent to be a .356, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .036 gap between that mark and his actual .392 wOBA.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The weather report the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dallas Keuchel will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Carroll today. Corbin Carroll has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll's true offensive talent to be a .356, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .036 gap between that mark and his actual .392 wOBA.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Polanco
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last year's 92.7-mph mark.

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last year's 92.7-mph mark.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jake McCarthy has notched a .270 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jake McCarthy has notched a .270 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's game. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 40.5% to 52%. By putting up a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers is ranked in the 92nd percentile. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Ryan Jeffers has put up a .283 batting average this year.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's game. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 40.5% to 52%. By putting up a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers is ranked in the 92nd percentile. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Ryan Jeffers has put up a .283 batting average this year.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage against Dallas Keuchel today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage against Dallas Keuchel today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Max Kepler is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Max Kepler is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

D. Solano
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Donovan Solano will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Checking in at the 89th percentile, Donovan Solano has posted a .342 BABIP this year.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Donovan Solano will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Checking in at the 89th percentile, Donovan Solano has posted a .342 BABIP this year.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Willi Castro has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days. This season, Willi Castro has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 85.7 mph mark. Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .306 mark is a good deal lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Willi Castro has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days. This season, Willi Castro has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 85.7 mph mark. Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .306 mark is a good deal lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Matt Wallner is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.6% up to 40%.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Matt Wallner is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.6% up to 40%.

Joey Gallo Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Gallo
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Joey Gallo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Joey Gallo will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 28.5°, Joey Gallo has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35.7° angle over the past 14 days. Joey Gallo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (37.3°) is considerably higher than his 32.4° angle last year.

Joey Gallo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Joey Gallo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Joey Gallo will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 28.5°, Joey Gallo has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35.7° angle over the past 14 days. Joey Gallo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (37.3°) is considerably higher than his 32.4° angle last year.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's game. Christian Vazquez has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 3.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last two weeks. Christian Vazquez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 91-mph. In the last 14 days, Christian Vazquez's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's game. Christian Vazquez has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 3.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last two weeks. Christian Vazquez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 91-mph. In the last 14 days, Christian Vazquez's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Kelly
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Carson Kelly will hold the platoon advantage over Dallas Keuchel in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Carson Kelly will hold the platoon advantage over Dallas Keuchel in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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